this post was submitted on 02 Oct 2023
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New preamble:

Palestinian resistance groups have launched an operation in and around Gaza to fight the genocidal settler state oppressing them. Thousands of rockets have been launched towards the so-called state of Israel, overwhelming the Iron Dome. Settlers and the troops protecting them are being killed in the settlements surrounding Gaza, with many caught by surprise in the first few hours of the operation.

Palestinians are taking many Israeli settlers and soldiers hostage and bringing them back to Gaza. An Israeli general, Nimrod Aloni, has been confirmed captured. Palestinians are also taking military and civilian equipment back. Drones and MANPADS appear to be in use, and a number of Merkava tanks have been destroyed/disabled and their occupants removed and taken hostage. Palestinian forces appear to be heading in two main directions so far: southeast in the direction of Be'er Sheva, and along the coast in the direction of Ashkelon, but settlements all around Gaza have been assaulted and taken. It is obviously unknown how far they intend to go, or what their intermediate goals are.

Israel is bombing the Gaza Strip with aircraft, destroying buildings. It appears that their intelligence on the location of Palestinian forces outside of Gaza is very poor, and haven't been able to meaningfully strike them. Netanyahu has given a statement declaring that Israel is in a state of war. Iran has issued statements in support of the uprising, and Israel has responded with hostility to those comments. In all, the IDF appears to still be in a shockingly bad state hours after the assault began.


Old preamble on Antarctica:

expand

Much of the information for this news post, including both the images in the preamble, came from this article at the National Snow and Ice Data Center, which has been circulating in the media lately.

Image has been taken from this article.


Antarctica has had a uniquely bad year.

While the sea ice extent in the last 50 years or so has been very gradually declining, it has done so very slowly on average - by 0.1% per decade. This began to change in 2016:

Even so, this year is different, showing a remarkable decrease in the maximum sea ice extent. It is unconfirmed (I think) but this year may be the first in which the maximum extent fails to reach 17 million square kilometers - and is more than one million square kilometers lower than the previous record low maximum in 1986.

The fall in sea ice has been linked by some researchers to warming in the uppermost ocean layer caused by lateral and upward mixing of warmer water. The ocean is a gigantic heat sink, and has been absorbing much of the excess heat that humanity has generated via the greenhouse effect. But put enough heat into a heat sink and it will eventually fill up.

These changes in sea ice extent is no mere abstract climate worry or scientific curiosity. It is having a direct, catastrophic impact on the Antarctic's ecosystem. Emperor penguin colonies have had trouble breeding, so much so that:

...there is high probability that no chicks had survived last year in four of the five known emperor penguin colonies in the central and eastern Bellingshausen Sea. This was because the sea ice had melted well before chicks would have developed waterproof feathers. ... Today's report says about one-third of the 62 known emperor penguin colonies in Antarctica were affected by partial or total sea ice loss between 2018 and 2022.

And, last year, scientists conducted a study on the two plants that are able to grow near Antarctica, looking at a single Antarctic island for simplicity, and found that the populations of these plants had exploded in the last decade - growing as much in the last decade as they had in the last 50 years - due to rising air temperatures. It was warm enough for the scientists to wear shorts and remove their shirts.


The Country of the Week is Syria! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.


Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

The weekly update is here!

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


(page 4) 50 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago (5 children)

The number of settlers killed by the resistance has reached 350. 2,000 are injured. Among the settlers killed are several high-ranking IOF officers and 30 zionist policemen.

In just 24 hours, more settlers have been killed than in the first year and a half of the Second Intifada, the most successful anti-colonial period in Palestinian resistance history. This does not account for the uncounted dead and missing settlers, of which there are hundreds.

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[–] the_kid@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago (2 children)

72 trilli did this to get the megathreads back to >1000 comments

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago (11 children)

September was world's hottest on record by an 'extraordinary' margin

Last month’s average global temperature was 0.93°C above the 1991-2020 average for September. This is the warmest margin above average for a month in 83 years of records kept by the Copernicus Climate Change Service.

“It’s just mind-blowing really,” said Copernicus Director Carlo Buontempo. “Never seen anything like that in any month in our records.”

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[–] FakeNewsForDogs@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Hezbollah situation seems extremely measured thus far. Seeing it suggested that a ground invasion of Gaza would trigger serious hezbollah involvement though. And what else is Israel realistically going to do here? Settlers out for blood now, and leadership more than happy to oblige. But, you can’t rescue prisoners with air strikes so what other option is there? Hard to see a prisoner exchange being a palatable resolution for Israel. Is this just bound to escalate and draw hezbollah in?

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago
[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 54 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (6 children)

IDF spokesman has stated war goals

  1. Remove all military capability of Hamas

  2. Remove Hamas from governance of Gaza Strip

100k reserve troops with no experience seems like a strange thing to base your operation on? Aren't these mandatory military service personnel too? How is their morale going to hold up compared to dedicated volunteer fighters who see this as existential?

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 53 points 1 year ago

Former Israeli officials are calling the massive Hamas military offensive against Israel a “catastrophic” intelligence failure that will have immense and swift political ramifications.

On 7 October, Hamas fighters breached the Gaza border fence and swept into Israeli towns and settlements, killing some 100 soldiers and settlers while taking others captive back to Gaza, including the commander of the Israeli army’s southern region. Hamas also fired thousands of rockets into Israel.

The unprecedented Hamas offensive was allowed to happen by “disarray” in the Israeli armed forces and intelligence services, said Chuck Freilich, the country’s former deputy national security adviser. This is a catastrophic failure in regards to Gaza,” he told Politico. “It’s a failure in terms of intelligence, operationally,” Freilich said. “It’s clear we were caught totally unprepared by this. The divisional headquarters responsible for Gaza was occupied, they’re in disarray, and so the whole response has been delayed.”

Freilich predicts the intelligence failures will have significant political repercussions for the Israeli government. “There’s always a short-term rallying around the flag. But once the dust settles we’ll have major political ramifications,” Freilich said. “After the Yom Kippur war, it took three and a half years for [then Israeli Prime Minister] Golda Meir’s government to be toppled — I don’t think it will take that long this time.”

...

Amos Yadlin, a former IDF intelligence chief, also compared Saturday’s events to the “intelligence failure” of the Yom Kippur War in which Syria and Egypt initiated the conflict, taking the Israeli army by surprise. Similarly, Eli Marom, the former head of the Israeli navy, stated on live television, “All of Israel is asking itself: Where is the IDF, where is the police, where is the security? … It’s a colossal failure; the hierarchies have simply failed, with vast consequences.”

Peter Beaumont of the Guardian noted the Hamas offensive was enabled by an “intelligence failure for the ages” and came despite Israel’s sophisticated technological surveillance systems and network of human informants among Palestinians.

He noted that according to members of Israeli intelligence’s 8200 Unit, “the net for developing sources is almost all-encompassing” in the occupied Palestinian territories. Members of Unit 8200 “were told to seek individuals with financial and health problems, those vulnerable because of sexual impropriety, efforts duplicated in entry and exit interviews for those Palestinians allowed to leave the coastal strip.”

Israel also employs sophisticated surveillance technology, such as Pegasus spyware, to monitor Hamas’ communications. Israel also monitors the Gaza border fence using a network of regular patrols, cameras, and ground motion sensors while employing remote-controlled mini-cannons to deter Palestinian fighters and protesters from breaching the fence.

Despite this, Israeli intelligence was unaware of Hamas’ preparations for the major offensive and did not observe Hamas fighters gathering to breach the border fence.

[–] ReadFanon@hexbear.net 53 points 1 year ago (2 children)

One thing this post doesn't go into is the fact that a Blue Ocean Event signals a dramatic loss of albedo, meaning that a significant amount of heat (~90%) which would have been reflected back will instead be directly absorbed into the ocean and surrounding atmosphere.

So not only will it be the end of the thermal buffer that the ice caps afford us but it will turn that buffer into a heatsink.

Couple this with the disruption to the polar vortex and shit's gonna be a catastrophic climate event.

[–] CantaloupeAss@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago (1 children)

damn RIP earth's libido we put too many SSRIs in the water supply

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[–] volcel_olive_oil@hexbear.net 53 points 1 year ago

what a thing to wake up to

GO PALESTINE palestine-heart

[–] zed_proclaimer@hexbear.net 53 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Rightwing Z guys in shambles over their based friends Orban, Gaetz, Trump all supporting Israel and lining up with the neocon blob

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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 53 points 1 year ago (1 children)

We need a new doohickey emote, but it is the para-gliders

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[–] star_wraith@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago

Here’s a nice counter to Cornel West’s “both sides” bullshit, from someone else running for president:

https://nitter.net/votesocialist24/status/1710688176610693449#m

[–] puff@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago (4 children)
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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Max Blumenthal and Ben Norton are beefing. Max apparently fired Ben for being critical of the Grayzone's anti vax pivot. I stopped even bothering with the Grayzone after their anti vax and transphobic pivot.

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

Meanwhile, here on TERF Island:

Successful lobbying from the National Farmers’ Union (NFU) and other industry groups means the millions of tonnes of food wasted by companies each year can be kept secret.

Environment secretary Thérèse Coffey in August cancelled a proposal to require large businesses to measure and publish how much food they waste, meaning the true scale of the problem will remain hidden. Coffey’s own department had advised that mandatory reporting would reduce food waste, save businesses money and cut greenhouse gas emissions.

But the NFU argued in a submission obtained through freedom of information law that public reporting would “just provide more red tape” and create a risk of “bad press” that could threaten contracts. A few trade associations and big food companies also lobbied against the proposal, including the Association of Convenience Stores, Kellogg’s, Pizza Express and Associated British Foods, which owns Kingsmill, Jordans, Allinson’s, Ryvita, Twinings and other food brands. However, the majority of large supermarket chains, food manufacturers and hospitality businesses supported mandatory reporting, as did Costa and McDonald’s.

Businesses making and selling food waste 1.9 million tonnes of edible food a year, according to research by the Waste and Resources Action Programme (WRAP) charity. Another 2.9 million tonnes of edible food is wasted on farms, equivalent to 18 million meals a day, according to separate research by the environmental group WWF. Food waste on farms is caused partly by supermarkets cancelling orders at the last minute or setting tight specifications on the size and appearance of fruit and vegetables.

"No, we can't have this law go through, because it'll make us look bad!"

"Ah, fair enough. That's a good reason to cancel it. Off you go then."

:steinbeck-sad:

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago (3 children)
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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 52 points 1 year ago (11 children)

Australia concludes China decoupling ‘impossible’ after carrying out series of classified studies

Australian authorities conducted three separate internal studies in the past eight years to determine whether the commodity-exporting nation could completely diversify its supply chains from China – but all said the task was impossible, according to two sources with knowledge of the matter.

The unanimous and non-partisan judgment helped to justify Canberra’s renewed trade engagement with Beijing late last year despite obstacles such as Aukus, a regional security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States.

Australia’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) and its treasury department jointly administered two studies, one in 2015 and another in 2020, both of which concluded “no other markets could replace China as a market for Australian commodity exports”, one source said.

shocked-pikachu

“Diversifying away from China in the supply chain would be tough,” said Dong Xuyang, an analyst at Climate Energy Finance, an independent think tank in Sydney. “Whether people like it or not, the reality is that China is dominating the global renewable industry as a result of insufficient effort from the rest of the world. And China is producing these products at the scale and speed the global energy transition needs.”

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[–] FortifiedAttack@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Friendship with Ukraine war has ended, now Israel war is my new best friend.

Looks like the focus change has arrived early!

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[–] SnAgCu@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

I feel like a while ago support for Palestine was a bare minimum bar even most liberals could clear. It seems you can't even expect that much. Seen a switch flip in so many liberals, the textbook about-face when they see the oppressed actually start fighting back. Unless, the oppressed people aren't particularly oppressed and wear Nazi symbols, I guess.

death to america

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Alright I need a break for a bit, definitely seen too many bodies this evening and it's never pleasant no matter whose side it is.

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[–] GayTuckerCarlson@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago

Israel is tankie because they don't support property rights

[–] puff@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago

Day 2: Xi pls open third front in Taiwan

[–] ImOnADiet@lemmygrad.ml 51 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (9 children)

A massive cyber attack against zionist infrastructure is currently underway, targeting many vital networks. This act underscores that the Palestinian resistance is not alone, as these cyberattacks come from its many allies in the Arab world and beyond.

If this isnt just them emptily boasting,
\1) wtf??? How did they accomplish this???
\2) this really would mean they’ve got some big backers internationally
\3) could explain why Israel seams so caught off guard

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[–] LargePenis@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago (15 children)

2030 World Cup hosts have been finally announced - it will Spain, Portugal and Morocco, with three matches played in Uruguay, Argentina and Paraguay to celebrate the 100 year anniversary. Look at how quickly Ukraine got dropped lol.

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[–] Harajukum@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago

joining the war on hamas on the side of hamas, IDF DELANDA EST, THE WEST ARE HYPOCRITES palestine-heart

[–] Gimasag@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago (7 children)
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[–] ImOnADiet@lemmygrad.ml 51 points 1 year ago (2 children)

If this happens earlier in the week megathread hits 2k comments easy lol

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago

Active fighting at the Jenin checkpoint in the northern West Bank.

[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago (7 children)

I feel like the speaker of the house/shutdown drama is gonna be totally bypassed now because the rhetoric will shift to Israel being in danger because of it and if there’s one thing they can all agree on it’s that so the dems will probably cave to more of their demands in a show of “unity for Israel” god the country is so fucking stupid

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[–] Cigarette_comedian@hexbear.net 50 points 1 year ago

:packwatch: :idf-cool: :rip-bozo:

[–] ElChapoDeChapo@hexbear.net 50 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The only thing that will suck if Palestine is liberated will be Netanyahu setting up a government in exile on Long Island

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[–] Catradora_Stalinism@hexbear.net 50 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Here to announce my ascent to godhood

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 50 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Palestinian resistance reports 600 dead settlers now.

There are claims by Twitter accounts (unsure if true) that the Gazans are only 10km from the West Bank; this would effectively split Israel in two halves.

Drones being fired into Israel from Gaza.

[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 50 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Hopefully some of the factions that hamas asked to act do, if hezbolla and syria do a few strikes at the border checkpoints, that would force to isrealis to divide their forces and help the al-aqsa offensive

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 50 points 1 year ago (3 children)

A Senior U.S. Defense Official has stated that they believe an Israeli Ground Invasion of the Gaza Strip will likely begin sometime in the next 48-72 Hours.

Also

Israel has formerly requested ammunition from the US, expecting a need for it on the northern border.

Not sure how much ammunition the US has left lmao.

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