this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2023
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BG3 is an outlier. I completely understand why it wasn't on the radar. Pent up DnD demand + decent execution sent it to the moon.
Baldur's Gate 1 & 2 as well as Divinity: Original Sin 2 were all huge successes and Baldur's Gate 3 was in early access for 3 years to either test it or read testers opinions. So you've got a very successful IP using a renown system, a devoted studio known for quality games with proper resources and their own, capable and proven game engine, years of polishing the game and adhering to fans feedback. If you "completely understand why it wasn't on the radar" then... I guess you could get a job at Microsoft.
Pretty revisionist of you. No one saw the success that Baldurs Gate 3 had. They literally moved up their release date to avoid it getting drowned out.
The head of Larian has even said that they did not anticipate this many sales.
Was this going to be a good game? Yes most people could see that.
Would it reach a mainstream pocket and sell as well as it did? Most people did not predict that.