Technology

I used to support an IVA cluster. Now the only thing I use AI for is voice controls to set timers on my phone.

LLMs are fundamentally limited, the only interesting application with them is research more or less. There are some practical applications, but those are already being used in industry today, so meh.

Whether or not it's a dead end, is questionable, because scientific research is often met with many a dead end, that's just how it is.

It doesnt matter if they reach any end result, as long as stocks go up and profits go up.

Consumers arent really asking for AI but its being used to push new hardware and make previous hardware feel old. Eventually everyone has AI on their phone, most of it unused.

Take a car that's stuck in reverse, slap a 454 Chevy big block in it. You'll have a car that still drives the wrong way; but faster.

I think the first llm that introduces a good personality will be the winner. I don't care if the AI seems deranged and seems to hate all humans to me that's more approachable than a boring AI that constantly insists it's right and ends the conversation.

I want an AI that argues with me and calls me a useless bag of meat when I disagree with it. Basically I want a personality.

Why won't they pour billions into me? I'd actually put it to good use.

Misleading title. From the article,

Asked whether "scaling up" current AI approaches could lead to achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI), or a general purpose AI that matches or surpasses human cognition, an overwhelming 76 percent of respondents said it was "unlikely" or "very unlikely" to succeed.

In no way does this imply that the "industry is pouring billions into a dead end". AGI isn't even needed for industry applications, just implementing current-level agentic systems will be more than enough to have massive industrial impact.

The funny thing is with so much money you could probably do lots of great stuff with the existing AI as it is. Instead they put all the money into compute power so that they can overfit their LLMs to look like a human.

Good let them waste all their money

Its not a dead end if you replace all big name search engines with this. Then slowly replace real results with your own. Then it accomplishes something.

LLMs are good for learning, brainstorming, and mundane writing tasks.

Worst case scenario, I don't think money spent on supercomputers is the worst way to spend money. That in itself has brought chip design and development forward. Not to mention ai is already invaluable with a lot of science research. Invaluable!