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A generational divide splits Black voters ahead of Biden-Trump rematch (www.nbcnews.com)

submitted 6 months ago by return2ozma@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

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[-] KevonLooney@lemm.ee 16 points 6 months ago

While they remain overwhelmingly aligned with President Joe Biden, his level of support is lower than in 2020. And Donald Trump’s Black support is often clocking in at levels that would outpace all previous Republican nominees in the modern era.

These findings have produced understandable skepticism, fueled by red herring polls in past campaigns suggesting surprising levels of Black GOP support that failed to materialize on Election Day.

🤨

Ozma, you need a hobby. Biden is living rent free in your head.

[-] itsonlygeorge@reddthat.com 3 points 6 months ago

There is an excellent podcast ‘the dollop’ on Donald Trump. It paints a rather stark picture full of racism. His father burnt down a building to force the mostly African-American tenants out on the street.

[-] autotldr@lemmings.world 1 points 6 months ago

This is the best summary I could come up with:

These findings have produced understandable skepticism, fueled by red herring polls in past campaigns suggesting surprising levels of Black GOP support that failed to materialize on Election Day.

It’s important to note that in most individual polls, the sample size of Black voters is generally low, given that they typically make up just over 10 percent of the electorate.

Additionally, a Washington Post/Ipsos poll released this week (but conducted a month ago) looked exclusively at Black voters, with a pool of over 1,000 and a much smaller margin of error.

But respondents were asked to rate their likelihood of supporting each of five potential candidates: 74% said Biden, 14% Trump, 20% Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 14% Jill Stein, and 9% said Cornel West.

If Trump can actually translate this into a historically high level of Black support and deny Biden the kind of advantage Democrats have long enjoyed, it could win him the election.

And if it’s mainly the pro-Biden side of this generational divide that shows up in November, we could end up looking back at the current polling as just another red herring.

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this post was submitted on 07 May 2024

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