this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2024
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Sorry it's a few days late, I just saw this and thought it was really interesting.

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[–] Nightwingdragon@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago

It’s wildly worse than you think. The number of bullet ballots in swing states is around 5-12% of the total vote counts. It’s a statistical anomaly that ONLY exists in the swing states. Other things to consider:

There were bomb threats in only swing states.

This we knew was going to happen long ago, but I do not recall any reports of those threats impacting operations or vote counts.

There were a number of counting stations that are reporting issues with their tabulation software, again, significantly happening in swing states.

This is where we get into dangerous territory. You cannot claim there were issues with tabulation software or any of the other technical issues I've heard bandied about, to the point where every state went significantly redder, while still saying that our elections are free, fair, safe, and secure. Because it allows Trump and MAGA to beg the question: If it happened in 2024, who's to say it didn't happen in 2020? Who's to say it won't happen again in 2028? Go down this path, and good luck being able to convince anybody that our elections are or were close to legitimate ever again.

Polls performed prior to election accurately predicted of pretty much every downballot race, but for some reason are wildly inaccurate for predictong the President in only swing states?

Polls haven't gotten Trump right in 10 years. If you're still looking at polls when discussing Trump, that's the first thing you're doing wrong.

There’s odd, and then there’s statistical improbability. We’re boarding on fucking bizarre, and it’s shocking that people aren’t making a bigger deal than this.

Sometimes, longshots pay off.

It's pretty simple. Take a look at what the vote tabulation total says, then take a look at how many people showed up to the polls. The numbers should be equal, down to the ballot. And remember, all 50 states went redder. If there was a problem, surely someone in a blue state would have. You can't be that far off without it showing up somewhere, and if nobody noticed that preliminary counts were off, that again points to a systematic failure of our election system across the country.

Nobody noticed the internet traffic of whatever supposed hackers manipulating the system in real time? Not a single district noticed counts that didn't match poll attendance? That's the thing. Even if you are 100% absolutely correct, that means that either our systems are so bug-ridden that it could be off by millions of votes, or so insecure that they can be infiltrated and manipulated by hackers without a trace. There are numerous fail-safes to ensure integrity up and down the process, and if the counts are off by that much, that means multiple protections across all 50 states failed, meaning that the election integrity we've been professing we have for the past four years doesn't exist.