this post was submitted on 26 Mar 2025
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They drove their M88 Hercules tank recovery vehicle into a peat bog. It sank. It's currently 5 meters deep in mud.
I think (speculation) they likely got out and tried swimming, but had no equipment for a peat bog. You don't simply swim in a peat bog, you need an inflatable or styrofoam board to rescue yourself or others. It's not possible to swim through semi-liquid peat. In the old days, one would use several wooden planks, but that puts the rescuer in big danger and their vehicle likely produced no floating debris to help them.
Water is cold like hell. Winter just ended around here, snow is still around in shady places (I'm a bit north, but it's pretty much the same in Lithuania). Bogs warm up by summer. One can be in perfect physical condition, but hypothermia disables an unprotected person in water pretty fast (20 minutes). After that, drowning kills the person.
Alternatively, they didn't get out.
Condolences to their families and comrades. :( This should not have happened. Instruction about the dangers of some local landscapes should have been more thorough. :(
P.S. Additions / corrections, since journalists finally reached the area and there are photos.
https://www.delfi.lt/news/daily/lithuania/kariuomene-laukiama-i-pabrades-poligona-atvykstancios-zemsiurbes-120096976
The area has peat bogs, but this is a bog lake. The ground is very soft and the bottom is very muddy. Lithuanians are literally building a road there with an ultra-wide-tracked excavator, likely with the goal of getting a heavy construction crane into range of the sinking place. Since the vehicle is 60+ tons, I think they'll bring a crane rated for 120+ tons.
Since the lake looks like one could climb out (the far side has forest), the men are likely in the vehicle. Since the vehicle is not waterproofed, they're unfortunately dead.
Since the lake is clearly discernible as a lake, I think they drove in darkness without anyone having their head out, and toppled into the lake sideways by going on "ground" that liquefied and didn't support their vehicle.