this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2025
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I'm not sure that I can remember that being done for any leader at the federal level in the past 50 years or so. We'll have to wait and see.
It's a weird situation. Like it or not, Polievre just achieved the highest Conservative vote share since the 1980s.
That he still lost is astonishing, and it'll be a while before anyone can sort out the path forward.
But I suspect they'll keep him around.
Even if that's how it goes, I think his days are numbered. There's 100% a couple of rivals in dark rooms right now, calling around trying to get the numbers to oust him as leader. Whether they'll be successful, I don't know, but this is such a dramatic snatch of defeat from the jaws of victory. It's only been a couple of months since the Conservatives were 30 points up. That can't all be blamed on Poilievre, but there will be those within the party who will. Party unity will be shot.
I'm not so sure about the "jaws of Victory" bit. I think that Canadians were just fed up with Trudeau, couldn't bring themselves to vote NDP and ended up polling Conservative. So it wasn't really support for PP, but unsupport for Trudeau.
Take Trudeau out of the equation and the Liberals came flooding back to the party.
I think so too. I think they just wanted a more traditional centrist candidate than Trudeau. Not that he's anywhere near as left as he's painted to be.
Houston is channelling an old switchboard operator today. I'd put money on it.