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this post was submitted on 20 Aug 2023
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politics
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Honestly, I worry most about what would happen if the GOP unites behind someone that isn't Trump in name (ie, with Trump completely out of the picture), but is effectively the same person. I think Trump doesn't have a chance of winning the general election. He's too despicable for anyone with even a little bit of morals. But a replacement could give right leaning people an excuse to vote for the GOP again, even if the replacement is basically just the same thing but less overt.
The issue the GOP faces electorally is that they can really only win if they have both Trump loyalists and mainline Republicans. They HAVE to do the bullshit they are doing where they advocate for other candidates but wont denounce Trump. What they have to be hoping for is for him to die or become somehow unable to run at all, and that when faced with the impossibility he endorses the GOP candidate. He will never do that no matter what happens, which is nice because that means they likely wont get the White House for 4 more. But things stopped making predictable sense long ago so who the fuck knows what is gonna happen
They only have a chance of winning with the mainline and the loyalists, but they've got no shot without either. The problem they're running into is that the loyalists are pursuing demands which turn away the mainline, e.g. abortion laws.