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And how large is the disenfranchised bloc at this point?
Mid terms will spell it out well enough. Nobody has polled those just like myself that won't vote for either party again.
No, DNC has fully cooked it's Goose. If the greens didn't just float sabotage candidates they would probably run some real numbers this cycle. Screw Stein and all that garbage.
No, I've been saying it since Janurary - if ANYBODY actually went out there with a populist center-left campaign - they will become the new duopoly partner. With a good message you could vacate easily a third of democratic seats if not more..
Not large enough to make a difference, if by "disenfranchised" you mean "doesn't vote for either major party."
Here's the thing: In order for a third-party candidate to make any difference at all beyond acting as a spoiler, that candidate needs to WIN. Not just have a good showing. Not just have a great showing where they come in just barely behind. In a FPTP system, there's only the winner... and everyone else.
Until we have a third-party candidate who can actually win, a vote for a third party is not quite the same as voting for the candidate you're most ideologically opposed to, but it's not very different, either.
And don't get me wrong, I fucking hate that that's the situation we're in. But it is. I wish I could argue against the mathematics of it, but they're unavoidable.