this post was submitted on 31 Aug 2023
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What? No, I don't think the US will invade China.
Yeah, it's quite unlikely, we're both making too much money off each other.
It all depends on Taiwan and the SCS regional partners now.
I mean even discarding that. Hypothetically, let's say the US and China declare war on each other. Neither country would be able to invade the other. I mean, the US is good at force projection, but how in the world would any nation conduct an amphibious invasion of a country like China and manage supply lines across the Pacific sufficient to support an invasion force?
It just... it doesn't make coherent sense.
The US could definitely do that, their logistics capabilities are immense. On top of that you have the submarine fleet, as well as assistance from regional allies. Probably not enough to take the entire country, but enough for it to capitulate through conventional means.
I mean we could land an army and send them support, just not enough to execute a conquest of China. Home field advantage is a major thing, you know