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this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
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Well that was... weird.
I saw several alleged videos of russian frontline units pledging their support for Prigozhin. Combine that with how little resistance wagner faced and Putin might have realized how weak his position is and given in to replacing MOD staff. Not a good look the same day he declared Prigozhin a traitor and promised punishment.
Trading the long-term stability for the short-term. Because now every aspiring russian warlord know that if you don't like something about the state, all you need is just a big enough private army to bully the kremlin, lol.
I mean, what would Wagner do once they reach Moscow? Sit at Putins desk and start giving orders? No one would listen, they'd all still take orders from Putin sitting in St Petersburg or just quit an go home and wait it out.
Probably just re-enact Jan 6 but Russian for the propaganda points, then skedaddling before the hammer comes down.