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Who's winning the war in Ukraine?
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That time they tried to fully take over Ukraine. That's a pretty good indicator.
Since they're very obviously not trying to take over all of Ukraine, I'll take that as an admission that you're full of shit.
So you don't consider charging at a countries capital and dropping airborne troops into a capital trying to take over a country? That's a really weird take.
Reality isn't a paradox game, so no, I don't.