UK Politics

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Heavy election defeat could lead to Tory lurch to right, analysis shows (www.theguardian.com)

submitted 10 months ago by GreyShuck@feddit.uk to c/uk_politics@feddit.uk

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A catastrophic election defeat could lead to the parliamentary Conservative party tilting towards the populist right, Guardian analysis has indicated.

A projection of the seats the Conservatives would retain if there was a further two percentage point swing to Labour before election day, using data from Electoral Calculus, shows that about 40% of the remaining MPs would come from this wing of the party.

In less calamitous defeats – scenarios based on current polling levels, and on a situation where there is a two percentage point swing in favour of the Tories – the proportion would be nearer to 30%, roughly where it is now.

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[–] uphillbothways@kbin.social 20 points 10 months ago

"You better not let us lose these elections or we'll get even worse."