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How safe are stocks in the long run? Evaluating data from 39 developed countries over 150+ years
(www.marketsentiment.co)
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This is the place for discussing the potential collapse of modern civilization and the environment.
Collapse, in this context, refers to the significant loss of an established level or complexity towards a much simpler state. It can occur differently within many areas, orderly or chaotically, and be willing or unwilling. It does not necessarily imply human extinction or a singular, global event. Although, the longer the duration, the more it resembles a ‘decline’ instead of collapse.
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different but not inversely correlated. Its suboptimal versus true hedge. also see inflation adjusted returns on bonds .
Central banks increasing rates lowers value of prior issued bonds. and bonds growing in financial crisis is just a noncausal correlation thats not a fixed way things work. In the macroeconomic position we are entering it doesn't make sense . Look at how TLT was down like 30+% during this crash that just happened in stock and bonds .
I understand what you are saying about diversification but it makes no sense to put money in bonds when you can have other hedges that have true mechanistic inverse correlation and bonds are negative real yield. Show me any diversification set up using bonds and i can show you a higher yielding setup that has lower risk.
definitely they don't. Most of those people are idiot parasites stealing from financially illiterate people.