this post was submitted on 06 Feb 2024
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Almost reminds me of falling. There's that first first 1/8th of a second where you are just beginning to realize you are falling, and in the next 1/8th of a second you are gone and there is no coming back.
With been in a 5+ sigma event, ongoing, since what, like, June? July? In November, when we would expect the annual global low to occur, we were outside of 2 sigma from what we would expect for the annual global high. In other words, our expected annual low was higher than our expected annual high, by a lot.
Kind of makes you wonder if the 'hot model problem', isn't really a data issue not a model issue.