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'Cliff-Like' Collapse of Critical Current System More Likely Than Thought: Study
(www.commondreams.org)
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Graph A (https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adk1189) just has model year and not the actual year in the common era. I just assumed all of it was extrapolation from today, which shows a cliff in about 1700 years, so give or take 3700CE.