this post was submitted on 29 Feb 2024
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In a surprise move, an Illinois judge has removed former President Donald Trump from the state’s ballot based on the 14th Amendment’s so-called “insurrectionist ban.”

The decision is paused, giving Trump a short period of time to appeal.

Wednesday’s unexpected decision comes as a similar anti-Trump challenge from Colorado is pending before the US Supreme Court, which is widely expected to reject arguments that Trump is barred from office.

Cook County Circuit Judge Tracie Porter heavily relied on the prior finding by the Colorado Supreme Court, calling Colorado’s “rationale compelling.”

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[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 58 points 8 months ago (5 children)

I'm glad it's happening. However, I am almost sure SCOTUS will not allow it no matter what and will find some spurious reason that the 14th Amendment doesn't apply to Trump.

Also, I wish it wasn't a state that Trump was pretty much guaranteed to lose anyway. Oh well, I guess it's a start.

[–] BlackPenguins@lemmy.world 26 points 8 months ago (6 children)

I'm not so sure. SCOTUS knows the confidence of them is at an all time low (18%). Even if Trump was re-elected I don't think there is more he can offer them. They already have the job. They need confidence back or the states are going to start ignoring them.

[–] Aceticon@lemmy.world 27 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (3 children)

Since there are zero concrete consequences for SCOTUS members from having low confidence from the public, they would need to actually care about what the "plebes" think of them for that to make any difference.

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 13 points 8 months ago (1 children)

You know for all our checks and balances the Supreme Court is surprisingly left out of them. Congress can supposedly tell them they can't hear a case but that's it. But it's fine cause the courts will never be able to change laws or enforce anything right? Right?

[–] BURN@lemmy.world 17 points 8 months ago

The court was supposed to be the main arbitrator of the checks and balances, because it was initially believed that they weren’t corruptible. That’s obviously not the case, and we’re all screwed because of it

[–] CileTheSane@lemmy.ca 10 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Since there are zero concrete consequences for SCOTUS members from having low confidence from the public, they would need to actually care about what the "plebes" think of them for that to make any difference.

Does the SC have any recourse if confidence from the public gets so low that states start ignoring them?

[–] AngryCommieKender@lemmy.world 13 points 8 months ago

Not really, and it's happened before. Heck one of the worst presidents we ever had famously stated, "John Marshall has made his decision, now let's see him try to enforce it."

[–] stoly@lemmy.world 4 points 8 months ago

SCOTUS caused the civil war this way. You should remain vigilant.

[–] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 11 points 8 months ago

States are going to start ignoring them

Already happening, see Hawaii ruling.

[–] kent_eh@lemmy.ca 10 points 8 months ago

SCOTUS knows the confidence of them is at an all time low

Maybe, but the more important questions are "do they care", and also "does it improve their behavior"?

[–] Olhonestjim@lemmy.world 7 points 8 months ago

Not only has he nothing more to offer them, but he has promised to be a dictator from day one, if reelected. A dictator threatens the power of judges in all courts. That's not something they should take lightly.

[–] paddirn@lemmy.world 7 points 8 months ago

Hey, they've got Ethics guidelines now, so they've solved whatever trust issues the public may have had, so they don't need to hear any of this malarkey anymore. It's full steam ahead for the Christo-nationalist fascist takeover.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

I hope you're right.

[–] chocosoldier@lemmy.blahaj.zone 9 points 8 months ago (1 children)

SCOTUS knows that Haley polls better against Biden than Trump does. It's in the interest of their owners that they block him from running.

[–] Sami_Uso@lemmy.world 0 points 8 months ago

Oh gimme a break. Those must be the same polls that showed Hillary by a landslide in 2016.

[–] PriorityMotif@lemmy.world 6 points 8 months ago (2 children)

I don't think SCOTUS has any incentive to allow him to run. They got what they wanted, control of the courts. Disallowing him to run normalizes the practice, gets them support, and sets precedent. Now they can go after any candidate later on. Another Trump presidency would be extremely unfavorable to Americas business interests, especially now.

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 4 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

He's not against business interests when the cheapest labor is slave labor and we have 3 massive companies arguing that the NLRB and FTC protections are unconstitutional.

META is currently suing so that they can track and deliver ads to minors. That's their lawsuit. That they deserve the right to openly admit they are courting minors in their platforms.

Trump is a yes man and I'm sure they want him back.

[–] bradorsomething@ttrpg.network 4 points 8 months ago

I agree domestically, but internationally trump is bad for american power projection, including economic. A second trump term would convince the world this is our new norm, and there is no value in a promise made by a country whose president will ignore them to serve short term needs. And while business also seems caught in the cycle of “short term gain for long term misery,” I hope the larger institutions see the cost long term… unless ducking out of the US is part of their plan.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 3 points 8 months ago

The business interest thing is definitely a big factor, but I don't know if it will be enough.

[–] GlitchyDigiBun@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 8 months ago (3 children)

Not to mention that if he is off of any 1 ballot and loses, he has ammunition for another Jan6. If he has a "fair shot" and loses, there is less plausibility and (hopefully) fewer followers in the repeat.

[–] Empricorn@feddit.nl 33 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

I get what you're saying, but we need to stop hand-wringing what Trump and his supporters will do if we actually have consequences for him.

  • We didn't force him to hatch a plan to send in fake electors
  • We didn't strong-arm his VP to not certify the election
  • We didn't pressure states to "find" him more votes
  • We didn't encourage the Jan 6th insurrection

Not only are repercussions for him smart politically, they are the right thing to do. Dude's a fucking traitor to his country, of course he should be ineligible to hold office, no matter what Party! Lastly, these Trumpets are basically a cult at this point. "Nothing Dear Leader does is wrong, and if it was, the dems and minorities deserved it." They will say the election was rigged no matter what. Many still believe the last one was, despite Trump losing all his court cases about it and the majority of Republican leadership admitting it was a free and fair election...

[–] kent_eh@lemmy.ca 16 points 8 months ago

we need to stop hand-wringing what Trump and his supporters will do

They are going to do whatever malicious thing they want, regardless of what the rest of us do.

We can't allow the potential threat of whatever thing they might do push us away from continuing to strive for better outcomes.

[–] Yeller_king@reddthat.com 7 points 8 months ago (2 children)

The difference is we control the military this time.

[–] octopus_ink@lemmy.ml 4 points 8 months ago

Yeah, but every R in the house voted against a bill that would have investigated how deep the white supremacist infiltration of the military and law enforcement has penetrated. (Which FBI has been warning of for a decade or more.) I'm a veteran, and decades ago I'd have confidently stated no one I worked with would take action to support an insurrection, no matter on whose behalf. Today I'm less sure, but I've also been out of the military for quite some time.

[–] Dkarma@lemmy.world -5 points 8 months ago
[–] crazyCat@sh.itjust.works 1 points 8 months ago

Oh I hadn’t thought of that, goodness you’re right.

[–] maness300@lemmy.world -1 points 8 months ago (2 children)

States don't have to obey the supreme court.

The supreme court is a suggestion body more than anything else.

As soon as we stop taking them seriously, they stop having power.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 12 points 8 months ago (1 children)

That's certainly what Alabama thinks and why they won't draw districts that aren't racist.

The question is why you're on their side that state law takes precedence over federal law.

[–] maness300@lemmy.world -4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Because federal law isn't always just.

Look at the war on drugs.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 8 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Unjust federal laws means that the South should be allowed to be as racist as they want to be? Really? Plessy vs. Ferguson can just be ignored?

[–] gamermanh@lemmy.dbzer0.com 0 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Lol, someone skipped basic civics class

[–] Krauerking@lemy.lol 2 points 8 months ago

I mean actually they explicitly don't have the right to enforce their judgements or the ability to change laws (which has since been ignored and not challenged when they do).
Their purpose was to just make judgements and pass them to the appropriate branch. The supreme Court is a bit of a mess. I think the founders just wanted a room of smart lawyers to ask questions to on payroll.