this post was submitted on 01 Mar 2024
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Linux Gaming

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[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 26 points 8 months ago (3 children)

What if its exponential growth?

Then we should expect that in ~35 years, 200% of users will be using desktop linux.

[–] ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de 10 points 8 months ago (3 children)

The math chec.....wait, no. That math doesn't check out at all.

[–] Hupf@feddit.de 12 points 8 months ago

It is an older math, Sir. I was going to let them pass.

[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Ok, fine, I'll do the actual curve fitting instead of just estimating.

Eyeballing it, were saying 1% in 2013, 2% in 2021, 3% in 2023?

Gives us a fit of..

0.873 * exp(0.118 * x)

So..

Correct the equation and solve for x

x_target = np.log(200 / a) / b

Calculate the actual year

year_target = 2013 + x_target

print(year_target)

In ~2058 everyone will be using two linux desktops at once.

[–] ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

If you don't think of the increase in speed of new users as continuing to increase exponentially.

[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

Isn't that the point of the exponent in the exponential function?

[–] agent_flounder@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Naw, it just means everyone will have two Linux computers!

[–] A_Random_Idiot@lemmy.world 4 points 8 months ago

I mean, I currently have 3 linux computers.. sooooo...

[–] Tlaloc_Temporal@lemmy.ca 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Linux on the main and second computersβ€½ Wow!

[–] Fedizen@lemmy.world 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)
[–] AlecStewart1st@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

2060 - The True and Definitive Year of the Linux Desktop (maybe, probably not but hopefully)