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this post was submitted on 08 Apr 2024
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Astronomy
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The last reoccurrence was after 80 years in 1946, I wonder why they are expecting it 2 years early?
According to Wikipedia:
In March or April 2023, it dimmed to magnitude 12.3. A similar dimming occurred in the year before the 1946 outburst, indicating that it will likely erupt between April and September 2024.
They did said "80 years or so" and "around 80 years", maybe they did their calculation and predicted that this year is likely the time that it happen. They did give a huge margin of when it will happen though.