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this post was submitted on 18 Apr 2024
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Asklemmy
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The US's own war games indicate they cannot hold Taiwan.
China's calculus for whether they need to invade Taiwan is based around whether there will be a peaceful reunification in the future or if it will be used as a springboard for military action against mainland China.
Maybe I should have been more specific, but that's kind of what I mean. There is real Sinophobia in the US, especially among law makers. So I would see Taiwan given very little support, or a quick escalation to real war.