this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2023
312 points (92.9% liked)
Memes
45891 readers
1370 users here now
Rules:
- Be civil and nice.
- Try not to excessively repost, as a rule of thumb, wait at least 2 months to do it if you have to.
founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
This is an old running meme in the hearthstone community. No matter the question, 50/50 it either happens or it doesn't
That's actually the best possible answer as it's a deeply stupid question. To many uncontrolled variables for a simple probability question.
Who are the other runners? If it's Usain Bolt vs. a 4th grader, the probability of the 4th grader winning approaches zero.
This fall, on Fox... Are You Faster than a 4th Grader?
Assume there is a Michael, who on race day was mysteriously cloned 4 times in a perfect manner such that biologically and psychologically they are a perfect copy to the original. So there are now 4 Michaels plus one proto Michael.
Now they are put to a 100m race on a standard race track. Assume that the universe has normal randomness in wind and temperature variation. What is the probability that proto Michael wins the race?
10%. With exact clones it would be 0%, a draw. But with random influences, either of them has a 50% chance.
And /s if i'm wrong.
THANK YOU. So much better.
It's still 50/50, he either wins or he doesn't 😁 😂.