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this post was submitted on 04 Jun 2024
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I don't know how many Syrian merchants would be available to ukraine. I do feel like russia may be more willing to abandon Syria than lose to ukraine. Even without russia there will still be fighting for awhile between the groups in Syria. It's just that the russian horse in that race will no longer be in debt to them. This isn't good for russia I'm sure, but russia has already abandoned allies for this war. Armenia was calling in the equivalent to article 5 on russia again and again. They were left to rot. I don't know how long it would take this to pay off. I can see putting pressure on them, but if you break them in Syria, it may just cause russia to pull all the troops from there and bring them to ukraine. There's a careful dance to play here.
Edit, autocorrect changed mercenaries to merchants