You may be right there. On the other hand splitting the Twitter user base between two commercial platforms is probably still better than everyone being on Twitter.

I'm beginning to wonder, if Threads is actually going to connect to the Fediverse or rather which kind of evil restrictions Meta is planning to apply. I mean, if people who are using Mastodon could follow and interact with their friends and celebrities on Threads, there would be no reason at all to have an Instagram account and/or to use any of Zuckerberg's intrusive apps.

My guess is that Meta/Threads will only allow their users to access and interact with Federated content but not the other way which will most likely lead to most Mastodon instances deferating from Meta at once.

Looking forward to having a lot of popcorn 🍿 ...