this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2024
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UK Politics

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It's time to see if the polls are right.

Previously: the voting megathread

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[–] Zagorath@aussie.zone 4 points 4 months ago

Considering some were suggesting a chance Sunak would lose his own seat, his victory is pretty overwhelming. Even if you try simulating an IRV vote where everyone apart from Reform preferences Labour, the distribution would still see Labour fall 5 thousand votes behind the tories before you distribute Reform's votes to the Conservatives. A 62% victory on 2 candidate preferred once all is said and done.