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this post was submitted on 23 Jul 2024
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The mainstream professional polls have been reliable for some time. They typically get within 2-3pt margin of error when taken a few days before the election, and they serve as a useful bellweather to track public sentiment. In this case, it appears jettisoning Biden is bringing voters back to the Dem fold. That's what Dems were banking on, and I'd consider it a good thing given how much I don't want Trump to be President.
People who obsessively follow polling are the ones most likely to vote.
Stepping aside may honestly be the single greatest show of leadership Biden has done in his lifetime. If the polls are swinging, it's as much due to him making such a historical and respectable move as it is people surprised and refreshed by Kamala Harris.
Vote like idiot rule the world, and try to make their day worse.
Polls were historically accurate in 2022 and generally do a good job of measuring the temperature. Still, vote like they don't exist.
Exactly. If polls didn't matter, Biden would still be running for president. With that being said: vote.
If I ever get into politics I'm running on abolishing vote intention polls.
How do you do that without violating the first amendment?
By not being USian, or living in the USA?
My country only protects free-speech as long as it's not anonymous.
I usually didn't assume people's nationality, but I thought it was pretty safe in a thread about US politics.
No problem 😁
Unfortunately US politics sort of affect the whole world.
Unfortunately.