this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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The federal Liberals and Conservatives want to "solve" the housing crisis by making it easier for builders to build new units.

Sadly, with interest rates and construction prices at current levels, it seems unlikely that private companies will be able to provide the 3.5 million houses we need to restore affordability.

We need all levels of government to start building housing, not just wait for white knights from the private sector to ride in and save our middle class dreams.

Residential property developers are facing rising insolvencies as they struggle with higher borrowing and construction costs โ€“ and industry experts warn the trend is likely to worsen as interest expenses remain elevated.

...

At this pace, Canada is on track to reach about 240 real estate insolvencies this year, which would be 57-per-cent higher than 2023 and 13-per-cent higher than 2009, when a wide swath of businesses ran into problems owing to the financial crisis and global recession.

...

And that does not include the number of developers and projects that have been forced into receivership for not paying bills. The Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy does not include receiverships with its publicly available bankruptcy statistics. However, insolvency experts say they are seeing more projects go into receivership.

So far this year, the real estate sector accounts for 55 per cent of the receiverships recorded by Insolvency Insider Canada, a website that tracks the largest insolvencies in the country. That compares to 30 per cent last year and 33 per cent in 2022.

...

Today, the cost of residential construction is 81-per-cent higher across Canadaโ€™s major cities compared to 2017 and more than double โ€“ up 107 per cent โ€“ in the Toronto region, according to Statscan data.

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[โ€“] Nogami@lemmy.world 11 points 3 months ago (5 children)

Lol.

There is zero chance that anyone is going to build 3.5 million units. Zero. Even 5,000 units across all of Canada wonโ€™t happen.

It would destroy the current housing market and any politician or party that tried it would be voted out immediately.

So again, lol.

[โ€“] sbv@sh.itjust.works 8 points 3 months ago (2 children)

I don't think you're wrong, but housing is a massive issue that contributes to a bunch of other problems (cost of living, drug crisis, homelessness). If governments don't step up, the next few generations are going to have a shitty time.

[โ€“] skankhunt42@lemmy.ca 3 points 3 months ago (1 children)

There is a 55 unit apartment building and a 22 unit apartment building going up within 3KM of me. In our neighbourhood there's 5 houses for sale, one of which has sold in the last 4 months.

While I agree things are shitty, at least in my community apartments are being built. Price/cost is another story and I'd never live in a new build because its not rent controlled.

[โ€“] sbv@sh.itjust.works 3 points 3 months ago

That's awesome! I'm glad that progress is being made. In theory, government measures meant to increase builds will start kicking in soon, so that will accelerate.

Price/cost is another story and I'd never live in a new build because its not rent controlled.

This is really important. If we don't have units people can afford, the number of available units doesn't really matter. The CMHC estimate of 3.5 million new units by 2030 may be one way to get there. Governments building low cost/rent units is another.

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