A dramatically close election in Kentucky gives clues for both parties (www.politico.com)

submitted 1 year ago by jeffw@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

4 comments fedilink hide all child comments

A Democratic incumbent is running even with his Republican challenger. He’s trying to sell an optimistic economic message in the face of a slew of culture war attacks that the Republican hopes to ride to victory.

It’s not the 2024 presidential matchup. It’s the race for governor in Kentucky this fall — one that could serve as a bellwether for the messages both parties are selling as the presidential campaign season heats up.

The two candidates — incumbent Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear and Republican state Attorney General Daniel Cameron — will meet face-to-face on Saturday at the annual Fancy Farm picnic, an iconic event on the American political calendar that has long served as the unofficial start of general elections in Kentucky. But the election has already been blanketing the airwaves for months. Both parties have spent a combined $11 million on TV ads so far, and many of the messages there reflect the trends that will be all-too-familiar over the next year.

Those ads — along with the candidates’ five-minute speeches on Saturday — will serve as a test-drive for both parties’ strategies for the 2024 election.

Here are five questions the Kentucky race can answer about the next general election:

Can Democrats sell an economic message?

…

Can Republicans ride the anti-woke message to victory?

…

How bleak is it for Democrats in rural areas?

…

Is there a general election where the abortion issue helps Republicans?

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[-] Hypnos9@artemis.camp 2 points 1 year ago

In my opinion, Beshear is going to win by 5-10% just based on polling.

[-] jeffw@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I like this guy’s polling!

this post was submitted on 05 Aug 2023

40 points (93.5% liked)

politics

19170 readers

4454 users here now

Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!

Rules:

Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.

Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.

Example:

Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning

We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.

All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.

That's all the rules!

Civic Links

• Register To Vote

• Citizenship Resource Center

• Congressional Awards Program

• Federal Government Agencies

• Library of Congress Legislative Resources

• The White House

• U.S. House of Representatives

• U.S. Senate

Partnered Communities:

• News