100 **** percent, i'm all in!
this post was submitted on 06 May 2025
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Since two of them are the same, you have a 50% chance of picking something that is 33% of the possible answers. The other two, you have 25% chance of picking something that us 33% of the possible answers.
So 50%33% + 2 (33%*25%)= 33%
So your chances of being right is 33% cause there is effectively 3 choices.
But that one answer has a 33% larger possibility of being chosen by random, than the remaining two.
I covered that by multiplying it by 50% as it represents 50% of the choices.
I argue it's still 25%, because the answer is either a,b,c, or d, you can only choose 1, regardless of the possible answer having two slots.
Yup. And it says pick at random. Not apply a bunch of bullshit self mastubatory lines of thinking. Ultimately, 1 of those answers are keyed as correct, 3 are not. It's 25% if you pick at random. If you're applying a bunch of logic into it you're no longer following the parameters anyway.
You can just say "I don't understand probability (or the word 'if')" next time and save a whole bunch of effort.
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(1 replies)
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
There's a reason I dropped probability at school.
There is absolutely no way it is 60%. Because you can never have 60% chances of picking anything particular when there are only 4 choices. Knowing this, the answer is either 25% or 50%. Two effective choices, so the answer is C, 50%.
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(4 replies)
60%
B) 60% because I'm generally very lucky.
It's annoying that 25% appears twice. How about these answers:
a) 100%
b) 75%
c) 50%
d) 0%
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(2 replies)
Can I take a 50/50 joker first?