Two unrelated thoughts:
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Trump's batshit crazy cabinet actually proves that voting Trump was the correct accelerationist position. If you wanted to accelerate the downfall of American hegemony and the weakening of American institutions by appointing the biggest dumbasses on the planet, then you got your wish with this 2nd Trump admin. I sympathize with Americans comrades, but chickens come home to roost like the great martyr Malcolm X said.
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Russians actually entered deep into Kupiansk, I can't believe my eyes. Actually insane development, I didn't expect this at all so quickly honestly. It says a lot about the state of Ukrainian defences at this point. The story of Kupiansk is very interesting and serves as a good blueprint of the future of how Ukrainian territories will be integrated into Russia. Russia took over Kupiansk without a fight in February 2022, because the mayor was an intelligent man who spared the city from unnecessary bloodshed by calling the Russian command and telling them that they're free to enter the city without needlessly destroying infrastructure and civilian life. Civilians stayed, got their wages from Moscow, repairs were done quickly, civilians didn't leave, schools switched to Russian which the population already spoke perfectly, and that angered western media so much. When the Ukrainians took back the city in September 2022, mass arrests took place and sob stories were planted in media. The city was turned into a military hellhole by the AFU and most civilians had to flee. Russia kinda stabbed those people in the back during that disastrous period, but that's another discussion.
I think that your northern arrow is a bit too ambitious, a more realistic scenario for the upcoming few months is that Russia consolidates the eastern portion of Kupiansk and don't cross the Oskol River. They would then push down the Oskol until Borova and collapse the whole Oskol front. A latter stage would be pushing down from Russian territory towards Veliki Burluk and then down the western parts of the Oskol again until Kupiansk proper, mostly to keep supply lines open and avoid a repeat of late 2022 where they overextended into the Kharkov countryside. Vovchansk is way too valuable as a firebag where they can keep FABbing good Ukrainian units, and there's too much open exposed ground there. Ukrainian units in Kharkov are also still well-equipped and not as exhausted as in the Donbass, Russia can't risk too much there.