Oh nice, another Gary Marcus "AI hitting a wall post."
Like his "Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall" post on March 10th, 2022.
Indeed, not much has changed in the world of deep learning between spring 2022 and now.
No new model releases.
No leaps beyond what was expected.
\s
Gary Marcus is like a reverse Cassandra.
Consistently wrong, and yet regularly listened to, amplified, and believed.
"I have a TBI."
There's a lot of different possible 'points.'
Because there's a ton of research that we adapted to do it for good reasons:
Infants between 6 and 8 months of age displayed a robust and distinct preference for speech with resonances specifying a vocal tract that is similar in size and length to their own. This finding, together with data indicating that this preference is not present in younger infants and appears to increase with age, suggests that nascent knowledge of the motor schema of the vocal tract may play a role in shaping this perceptual bias, lending support to current models of speech development.
Stanford psychologist Michael Frank and collaborators conducted the largest ever experimental study of baby talk and found that infants respond better to baby talk versus normal adult chatter.
TL;DR: Top parents are actually harming their kids' developmental process by being snobs about it.
You haven't used Cursor yet, have you?
That's definitely one of the ways it's going to be applied.
The bigger challenge is union negotiations around voice synthesis for those lines, but that will eventually get sorted out.
It won't be dynamic, unless live service, but you'll have significantly more fleshed out NPCs by the next generation of open world games (around 5-6 years from now).
Earlier than that will be somewhat enhanced, but not built from the ground up with it in mind the way the next generation will be.
Base model =/= Corpo fine tune
Wait until it starts feeling like revelation deja vu.
Among them are Hymenaeus and Philetus, who have swerved from the truth, saying resurrection has already occurred. They are upsetting the faith of some.
I'm a seasoned dev and I was at a launch event when an edge case failure reared its head.
In less than a half an hour after pulling out my laptop to fix it myself, I'd used Cursor + Claude 3.5 Sonnet to:
I never typed a single line of code and never left the chat box.
My job is increasingly becoming Henry Ford drawing the 'X' and not sitting on the assembly line, and I'm all for it.
And this would only have been possible in just the last few months.
We're already well past the scaffolding stage. That's old news.
Developing has never been easier or more plain old fun, and it's getting better literally by the week.
Edit: I agree about junior devs not blindly trusting them though. They don't yet know where to draw the X.
Actually, they are hiding the full CoT sequence outside of the demos.
What you are seeing there is a summary, but because the actual process is hidden it's not possible to see what actually transpired.
People are very not happy about this aspect of the situation.
It also means that model context (which in research has been shown to be much more influential than previously thought) is now in part hidden with exclusive access and control by OAI.
There's a lot of things to be focused on in that image, and "hur dur the stochastic model can't count letters in this cherry picked example" is the least among them.
Let there be this kind of light in these dark times.