maketotaldestr0i

joined 1 year ago
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[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 2 points 4 months ago

yeah secular cycles is great , particularly if you want a map of post fossil fuel future if we fumble the energy transition long term, the malthusianish cycles will start again. his blog is good too.

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

yeah lol. i mean elizabeth warren is a vicious neoliberal authoritarian cunt but she has no political power or support. but bernie and aoc are both moderate principled politicians for the most part.

For a better take on what dalios saying better to read peter turchin and avoid the billionaire capitalist cockamamie version

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 4 points 4 months ago

an extraordinary streak of 415 days above previous highs and we just crossed back to the previous year level

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee -3 points 4 months ago

So basically you are poopooing an article you didnt read because you got bothered by one decontextualized pull quote.

"The article might have been well-informed and factual, but starting with such an absurd premise, I couldn’t maintain interest long enough to find out."

why bother commenting if you haven't read it or even knowing if the "absurd premise" is even in fact a premise required to support the rest of the thing?

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 3 points 4 months ago

To be fair , not once has the IEA been right about anything, its been kind of a running joke for decades.

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 3 points 5 months ago

It boggles my mind how easy it is to tribally code an issue that should be completely uncontroversial in order to make it unsolvable. Everyone should agree that we shouldn't have every mother having pfas in their breast milk, but with a few thousand dollars and a PR firm you can make that an issue think its a good idea because their ideological enemy thinks the opposite.

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 5 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Its like back when every official person said you cant register dirty from poppy seeds on food and all these people were busted for opiates and got convicted for it and then when it was finally independently tested it turns out you can fail from eating a couple poppy seed bagels

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 4 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Looking at real estate across usa, in places that someone could conceivably want to live or be able to get a job, and so much of it is listed for prices that make no sense to me. By makes no sense i mean who can even qualify for these houses on 30 year loan? not 90% of the population. In canada multiply that 4X or more.

Canada is so fucked right now, its a giant bubble , the medical system is utterly broken, meth is epidemic, the homeless encampments are huge and growing , full of lunatics and druggies, people are paying $600 for a mattress in a basement with other random people paying for mattress in the same basement.

Also canada i noticed the grocery stores have really shitty meat and vegetables, often having mostly bare shelfs with some meat cuts that even the soviet union would consider dogfood. There is an oligopoly and lots of the different stores are under same umbrella i notice after going to multiple stores its all the same shit and same deficit

Down in texas heat records have been broken, tomato plants cant even survive the heat they literally cook to death.

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 1 points 5 months ago

If you cant come to grips with the scientific fact that ecological destruction has a direct connection to population then you should start a special sub for CollapseMagicalThinking.

Life requires resources these resources have flow rates, for example the amount of human appropriated calories that are possible to grow in one m^2^ is limited by things like sunlight temperature nutrient inputs etc... This is scientifically measurable and all creatures including humans are constrained by such things. We are also constrained by waste production and the rate of waste detoxification by ecosystem services.

Of course "affluence" as measured by consumption is also part of the equation P*A=environmental impact. Humans appropriation of global bioproductivity is already pushed the other life on earth into mass extinction. Its already reduced many areas to lower bioproductivity levels. Over 40% of our current population number is dependent on advanced synthetic fertilizers that are highly dependent on fossil fuels and other depleting resources.

High population doesn't imply killing people. It can mean voluntary birth control usage and lowering the ability of the global 1% to engage in excessive consumption rather than killing the poor that use a tiny fraction of the resources per capita.

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 2 points 5 months ago

Its strange to me that so many people in here talking about eugenics when neither eleitl nor the paper posted had anything to do with eugenics. This place is a dimwitted mob of barely literates arguing with imaginary ideological enemies. actually i probably shouldn't use the word "arguing" since that requires something like a chain of claims-reasoning-evidence etc....

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 4 points 5 months ago

Until recently, nobody knew what kind of sialic acid receptors cows had, because it was believed that they didn’t catch A-strain flu viruses like H5N1.

Larsen and his colleagues in the US and Denmark took tissue samples from the lungs, windpipes, brains and mammary glands of calves and cows and stained them with compounds that they knew would attach to different kinds of sialic acid receptors. They sliced the stained tissues very thinly and peered at them under a microscope.

What they saw was surprising: The tiny milk-producing sacs of the udder, called alveoli, were brimming with sialic acid receptors, and they had both the kind of receptors associated with birds and those that are more common in people. Almost every cell they looked at contained both types of receptors, said lead study author Dr. Charlotte Kristensen, a postdoctoral researcher in veterinary pathology at the University of Copenhagen.

That finding has raised concern because one way flu viruses change and evolve is by swapping pieces of their genetic material with other flu viruses. This process, called reassortment, requires that a cell be infected with two different flu viruses at the same time.

“If you get both viruses in the same cell at the same time, you can essentially get hybrid viruses coming out of it,” said study author Dr. Richard Webby, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Studies on the Ecology of Influenza in Animals and Birds.

In order to be infected simultaneously with two flu viruses – a bird flu virus and a human flu virus – a cell would need to have both kinds of sialic acid receptors, which cows do, something that wasn’t known before this study.

“I think this is probably a pretty rare event,” said Webby, who has been studying the H5N1 virus for 25 years.

In order for something like that to happen, a cow infected with the bird flu virus would need to pick up a different flu strain from an infected human. Currently, human flu infections are low across the country and dropping as flu season winds down, making the possibility of something like this happening even more remote.

[–] maketotaldestr0i@lemm.ee 4 points 5 months ago

Between 2003 and 2023, British aggregate prosperity increased by just 3.4%, whilst population numbers expanded by 14%, leaving the average person worse off by 9.5%.

This is what ive been telling the people jawboning about population decline as bad for the economy and being an imminent disaster. They like to point out japan but with a tiny economic "growth rate" and shrinking population they can still achieve higher standard of living than a country with a higher "economic growth" but expanding population. The truth is expanding population creates labor competition and drives down labors power and compensation, along with increasing rent-extraction percentages for parasite capitalists. The truth is population reduction doesnt reduce standard of living it increases it as long as growth or even degrowth is divided among smaller population (of course distribution being a factor).

Even in the plague population crashes standard of living shot up so much it added inches to the populations skeletons and massive increases in standard of living along with substantially reducing ownership class's rent extraction capability.

 

tldr : economic collapse can lower pollution and lead to less deaths

10
Wirth’s Law (www.techslang.com)
 

Abstract Abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios (ASRS) following catastrophic events, such as a nuclear war, a large volcanic eruption or an asteroid strike, could prompt global agricultural collapse. There are low-cost foods that could be made available in an ASRS: resilient foods. Nutritionally adequate combinations of these resilient foods are investigated for different stages of a scenario with an effective response, based on existing technology. While macro- and micronutrient requirements were overall met, some-potentially chronic-deficiencies were identified (e.g., vitamins D, E and K). Resilient sources of micronutrients for mitigating these and other potential deficiencies are presented. The results of this analysis suggest that no life-threatening micronutrient deficiencies or excesses would necessarily be present given preparation to deploy resilient foods and an effective response. Careful preparedness and planning-such as stock management and resilient food production ramp-up-is indispensable for an effective response that not only allows for fulfilling people's energy requirements, but also prevents severe malnutrition.

 

Abstract To safeguard against meat supply shortages during pandemics or other catastrophes, this study analyzed the potential to provide the average household’s entire protein consumption using either soybean production or distributed meat production at the household level in the U.S. with: (1) pasture-fed rabbits, (2) pellet and hay-fed rabbits, or (3) pellet-fed chickens. Only using the average backyard resources, soybean cultivation can provide 80–160% of household protein and 0–50% of a household’s protein needs can be provided by pasture-fed rabbits using only the yard grass as feed. If external supplementation of feed is available, raising 52 chickens while also harvesting the concomitant eggs or alternately 107 grain-fed rabbits can meet 100% of an average household’s protein requirements. These results show that resilience to future pandemics and challenges associated with growing meat demands can be incrementally addressed through backyard distributed protein production. Backyard production of chicken meat, eggs, and rabbit meat reduces the environmental costs of protein due to savings in production, transportation, and refrigeration of meat products and even more so with soybeans. Generally, distributed production of protein was found to be economically competitive with centralized production of meat if distributed labor costs were ignored.

 

[https://deliverypdf.ssrn.com/delivery.php?ID=924024068085091111024007028080126078018010057003010003004106085109024008064021017011126002010009009047042125099018122099076064005085066082003094067092124089103122084032007125007009002116071093123005025106017020066027015126118019076015119127025082090&EXT=pdf&INDEX=TRUE](relevant paper)

 

Most preindustrial states experienced recurrent waves of political collapse and internal warfare. One possible explanation of this pattern, the demographic-structural theory, suggests that population growth leads to state instability and breakdown, which in turn causes population decline. Mathematical models incorporating this mechanism predict sustained oscillations in demographic and political dynamics. Here I test these theoretical predictions with time-series data on population dynamics and sociopolitical instability in early modern England, the Han and Tang China, and the Roman Empire. Results suggest that population and instability are dynamically interrelated as predicted by the theory.

 

concise but detailed explanation of how Malthusian vise was only escaped via fossil fuels.

 

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

Published:13 November 2023 https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2022.0261

Abstract

The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity. Inspired by what some have called a polycrisis, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of trap for humanity. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we present results from a participatory mapping. We identify 14 traps and categorize them as either global, technology or structural traps. An assessment reveals that 12 traps (86%) could be in an advanced phase of trapping with high risk of hard-to-reverse lock-ins and growing risks of negative impacts on human well-being. Ten traps (71%) currently see growing trends in their indicators. Revealing the systemic nature of the polycrisis, we assess that Anthropocene traps often interact reinforcingly (45% of pairwise interactions), and rarely in a dampening fashion (3%). We end by discussing capacities that will be important for navigating these systemic challenges in pursuit of global sustainability. Doing so, we introduce evolvability as a unifying concept for such research between the sustainability and evolutionary sciences.

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