scarabine

joined 1 year ago
[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 3 points 6 days ago (4 children)

Would you mind saying what you mean here? I’d like for you to explain your thought a little more.

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 17 points 6 days ago

Ever wonder about how the rallies were really low attendance but Kamala’s were bumping? What if you had two entire social networks that were at a fever pitch for months, non stop? How about three? Just three 24/7 online rallies, unending, with most of America logged on and posting every single day?

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 25 points 6 days ago (16 children)

It doesn’t seem generalized at all to me.

  • A series of laws are passed that make this thing riskier.
  • Do less of the risky thing.
  • Make it clear why.

What’s the problem?

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 13 points 6 days ago

It’s also worth mentioning that turnout percentage wise, 12m fewer votes is just 6-7%, and a turnout swing of that size is perfectly normal

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 7 points 1 week ago

He made sure the strike succeeded, and ended the strike as well. It’s a pure optics fail, which does not contradict your point at all, but does make it more poignant.

As for the groceries: that’s a genuine failure of Biden’s administration. He kept going for student loans but he should have gone for the grocers raising egg and dairy prices - no Republican court in the world would have survived the fallout from blocking that.

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 17 points 1 week ago

Yes, it was extremely Trump’s win. His first legitimate full win. There’s no EC shenanigans. Simply a majority of the votes and in a majority of the states.

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 7 points 1 week ago (3 children)
[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 2 points 1 week ago

So weird! I love it

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 23 points 1 week ago (2 children)

This seems to me like a signal that Democrats are formally cementing as a conservative / neoliberal party. Which makes sense. I guess maybe the upside is that maybe it will carve out room for an adjacent political body to the left as well, sort of like what happened with the tea party.

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 2 points 1 week ago

His model and 538s have both produced outcomes where one candidate gets 520+ EVs.

He assigns the quality ratings to polls himself and publicly announces them. They’re based on whether or not they predicted the outcome of the election.

It’s his very poll scoring system that causes polls to herd. Because even if they’re wrong, they’re wrong together.

He determines the weights of those polls and chooses how to apply them.

Nate has done plenty.

[–] scarabine@lemmynsfw.com 5 points 1 week ago

This dude thinks EVERYONE is thinking what he’s thinking and we just don’t say it out loud. He thinks ANY of us are one drunk post away from spewing the same garbage. In his mind he’s just guilty of posting under the influence because of that.

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