Not OP, but while it's obviously not a swing for president, it's worth reminding that down ballot races matter everywhere. New York is a good part of the reason why republicans got a narrow majority in the house in 2022 and can be a part of how we flip it back

Ironically, if you do that with Alaska, you'd think it's already blue. Here's alaska in 2016

Keep in mind that there have only been 3 polls in Alaska since Biden dropped out and one of those was a republican sponsored one

Yes it's more likely than not that Trump wins alaska, but data is limited. It's still a low but not a zero percent chance he doesn't. Regardless of this cycle, it keeps moving closer each election and certainly could be a competitive state in the future for president

Oops should be fixed now

AOC held an amoung us stream in 2020 that got over 400 thousand viewers. That was the third most concurrent views ever on a single Twitch stream at the time

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/aoc-plays-among-us-twitch-most-watched-streams/

Let's make sure of it

Make sure to register to vote. Deadlines are fast approaching in many states

Find opportunities to volunteer for dems around you and online

Write letters to voters in swing states or in competitive downballot races

ME-02 was just a small example. The ME-02 I believe was on the presidential race (Maine like Nebraska splits their electoral votes). The link was about the congressional race. To be fair, I mostly just remember it because they ran an ad that accidentally stated with "Dear Virginia" in Maine. Trump has also been relying more on PACs for his campaign to be fair as he's been outsourcing a lot more. Regardless, they've also done things like as another example pull money out of New Hampshire which they thought they, while probably not winning, could at least narrow margins on earlier with Biden in

Normally, I'd agree with that about debating. However, even other republicans were earlier urging trump to debate again and he still declined

Oh oops, didn't see the date was a bit ago. I saw it linked elsewhere online first and didn't catch that it was from june when reading the article

That is missing my point about their spending changes. Districts and states are hardly isolated from each other. The movments within one tends to correlate well with others. If there's slipage for republicans in fairly red ME-2, it bodes well for other states

Republicans are more resource limited right now compared to dems. If think they need to allocate money away from those swing states into ME-2 (which running up the score in doesn't particularly matter), what does that say about how they view the race?

Not to say they couldn't be just allocating poorly and making poor choices, but in that case then this whole discussion is moot about reading into their decisions as to not to debate

That doesn't line up as how the Republican campaign has been acting. For instance, they've started spending in areas like ME-2 which has been pretty strongly Republican for a while

Down ballot they're republicans are uping spending in places that should be theoretically solidly red like Nebraska (senate race) and Indiana (governor race)

How I'd read it has more to do with how Trump's been having more obvious mental decline lately. A second debate would really show that

It's more than a "handshake". States are actually passing laws for this. Plus there's nothing stopping you from going above 270 electoral votes

Once it's been in effect for a while, it would make a formal constitutional ammendment to fully remove it a lot easier to get though

The popular vote compact is a work around that doesn't require constitutional ammendment. It's an agreement to put their states delegates vote toward the winner of the national popular vote. (And only goes into effect once a majority of the electoral votes have signed on to it)

So far 209 of the needed 270 electoral votes have already signed on

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Popular_Vote_Interstate_Compact