this post was submitted on 21 Jan 2025
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This is not infighting, this is the point. Finance organised crime abroad to sow instability and undermine local governments, and use that instability as an excuse for intervention, usually in the form of loans, joint military operations, while also driving investment and labour away from that country towards the "safer" core.
Outright invasion only makes sense if the local government becomes insubordinate and refuses "help" (often due to becoming effective at handling the "cartels") or if the organised crime groups become politically active against imperial interests. In Mexico it's the former, in Haiti it's the latter.
so the play is most likely the embedded agents are all going to back out and territory will be seized, got it