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Canada’s conservative leader Pierre Poilievre loses his own seat in election collapse
(www.politico.eu)
this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2025
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168 of 172 needed for a majority.
They won, but it's a minority govt.
https://globalnews.ca/news/11095128/canada-election-live-results-2025-vote/
I hope that works out well. Coalitions, cooperation seems best.
In ordinary circumstances I agree but with an external threat I kind of wish it was a majority.
At this point I hope they form government with NDP, and NDP agrees to not interfere with foreign policy at all but get concessions domestically, which is probably the best outcome of this election for Canada overall. Hopefully the number of seats that went Con off of vote splits for both NDP and Liberal actually causes voting reform to happen.
Best for Canada, but typically fall apart after about a year. We'll be at the polls again in 2026, and that's really not enough time to teach the tiktok generation about caring for others and why hate is bad.
The last minority survived for almost 4 years.
Until the Trump Threat is neutralized (or at least muted) the BQ has common interests with the Liberals, so they could provide the needed votes to keep the government going.
And the NDP has no appetite (or budget) for another election in the near future, so they also have some incentive to play nice - and may even be able to get some more of their priorities acted on.
The Conservatives, of course, will continue to vote against anything and everything the Liberals propose, for no other reason than it was the Liberals who introduced the motion.
Talking down to them and playing the generational differences card isn't going to help at all. Plenty of old fucks, mid life fucks, and young fucks that need education in this not JUST the youngest of voters.
Spring 2028
There are a bunch of ridings that are still too close to call. The advanced and special ballots remaining have skewed heavily toward the liberals. They still may end up with a majority.
My bad then.
So they'll be starting with the Quebec nationalists (yuck) and greens (maybe yuck)? I'm not intimately familiar with the Canadian parties, but this doesn't seem like a strong position for them.
While Trump is still a factor, the BQ has common interests with the Liberals.
They don't need to court the Quebec separatists or the one green seat if they can get agreement as they go from the new orange leader.
For the record, the greens have a bad rep that is not 100% deserved: they have, many times in the past, fielded a "responsible resource management" plan that included managed forest and plausible plans for extraction and sale of other natural resources. Canada would be well-served with more green presence keeping the blues honest about oil well cleanup and pushing some solar panel plans forward. However, what we see on the news about the greens are a bunch of hippies snarling about drinking straws and logging (except in fairy Creek, natch, because someone got paid) and it scares any widespread support away.
But if we allowed coalition governments instead of continued buy-in and support during the cons' weekly no-confident motions, we'd see a merged party of both separatist groups, and that would be darkly funny until each refused to speak the other's language.