this post was submitted on 30 Apr 2025
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They have always been at war - hot or cold. If it becomes nuclear because of the stakes involved for the surrounding countries due to fallout risk (depending on potential target sites) there may be attempts at intervention from them (ie China, through diplomatic channels, not further war).
Right now it will be a further license for war crimes and minority persecution (especially India not withstanding that Pakistan's military is pretty much an extension of US foreign policy). Any further significant austerity measurements by the central Indian government to feed its own military-indsutry-complex for this will likely lead to further instablity and domestic population protest/strikes. In Pakistan, it will galvanise the return of Imran Khan (good thing) if the current Pakistani government is not careful.
(It difficult to ascertain concretely what Pakistan would have gained from doing this and given Western modus operandi I would not be surprised if this a false flag but that is conjecture at this point. We need to await further evidence to know either way.)
It must be remembered that civilians doing tourism were killed (albeit in a state that is more or less open air prison where Indian soldiers are pretty much given free license to perpetuate ongoing crimes against humanity). And that fact will dial up the Hindutva fervor to 11.