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I’m curious about the development of artificial intelligence in the future, and I’m looking forward to seeing what GPT-5 can do. If it’s a huge leap forward, then I will agree that the future will be very different from what we have now. But if it’s only a slight improvement, like Llama 1 vs Llama 2, then large language models (LLMs) might face the same challenges as self-driving cars. They are somewhat functional, but not reliable enough to let you sleep on your commute, and they won’t be for a long time.
It might be impossible to eliminate all the hallucinations from LLMs, but if the next versions are incredibly useful, then we will learn to live with them. For example, currently 30% of chips fail on a wafer, but we still produce more CPUs and they are groundbreaking technology. But even GPT4+ will have a significant impact on our future, especially in education. Every kid will have an AI in their phone that is ready to answer all their questions with minimal effort. This will greatly enhance the intelligence of future generations and make education accessible to almost everyone on earth at a similar high level. But this will not make us all lose our jobs in 10 years.
I don't think that accessibility in AI somehow correlates with the intelligence of the subjects using it. It can actually work in the completely opposite way where people blindly trust it or people get used to using it in a degree that they're unable to do anything without the help from the technology. Like people who are unable to navigate 2 blocks from their house if they don't use google maps navigation even though they do the same route every day.
I think you're too much optimistic about the impact on education: Every kid will have an AI in their phone, and instead of thinking by themselves when they'll have a question they will just ask the AI and forget the answer quickly because they just have to ask again. However I would be happy to be wrong.
“These darn books are going to make all the youths dumb and forget everything!”
Like we’ve literally been saying the same shit for over 2000 years. And your youths are never doomed…
You mean at the current ChatGPT level? Because I'm unsure if the future versions will be open source or open access, if not surely it will just raise the disparity in education.
Lol. OpenAI haven't made GPT open source since version 2. With that said, their best interests are currently in keeping access public and their name in the headlines. They need an income source.
Kids as well as everyone already have AI on their phones.
We've had it for quite a while now. Even before chatgpt, what question could you not find an answer for?