this post was submitted on 09 Sep 2023
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Yes I agree, particularly in the fact that the corruption and facade that was the Russian military reporting structure made it seem to Russian leadership that they were more powerful than they thought. This is the problem with having so many yes men surrounding an authoritarian leader.
However as we're hitting the two year mark on the war soon, the Russian military has likely become more competent and less corrupt than before with the increased attention.
That's a fair take and may well be accurate. I am no expert and accordingly don't have a strong opinion either way, and that's leaving aside the rather obvious point that most/many of our so-called "experts" keep getting it wrong in the first place.
Remember when Kyiv was going to fall in a matter of days, then that got adjusted into a matter of weeks and then months and now here we are a year and a half later?
The loud and clear lesson from that is that the so-called experts often don't know what the fuck they're talking about.