this post was submitted on 09 Sep 2023
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That's a fair take and may well be accurate. I am no expert and accordingly don't have a strong opinion either way, and that's leaving aside the rather obvious point that most/many of our so-called "experts" keep getting it wrong in the first place.
Remember when Kyiv was going to fall in a matter of days, then that got adjusted into a matter of weeks and then months and now here we are a year and a half later?
The loud and clear lesson from that is that the so-called experts often don't know what the fuck they're talking about.