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So now that RFK Jr is going to actually syphon off the mythical "moderate Republicans" from trump...
We won't have to hear that as a reason Biden can't give Dem voters what they want... Right?
Biden doesn't have to give anyone anything. He will be the nominee, provided he has a pulse, and he can easily raise enough money to win his election and help downticket democrats. Everything else is a distraction.
The real trick is, if we see a democratic majority in the house and senate (unlikely, but possible), how will the Democrats avoid the progressive agenda then? Who can they blame for the lack of progress? Probably the courts, and obstructionist Republicans, both problems they could avoid if they actually wanted to pass a progressive agenda.
The current Republican majority in the house is completely due to gerrymandering. I mean that if we had eliminated all gerrymandered districts (going both ways) in America in 2022, the Democrats would hold the House today.
There are lawsuits out in a number of states. The Democrats will almost certainly gain several seats in New York state alone (possibly up to 6 or 7). And there are lawsuits in a ton of southern states from Florida to Texas, where after a recent Supreme Court ruling, it's likely that several of these states will end up with 1-2 additional Democratic seats each (with an equal number of lost Republican seats).
It's possible that political winds will swing further against the Democrats by 2024 elections, but it looks right now like those winds aren't the only consideration.