this post was submitted on 29 Oct 2023
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Are we seeing the East pivot to stronger military ties in preparation for a US attack of some kind? Having Russian backing is going to make SK think twice about anything it planned in the DPRK and denies any easy foothold on the mainland from the direction of Japan. Plus, if this helps end the war in Ukraine faster, there's an advantage to China as it will free up Russia's attention and mean that China can focus on a few less problems if the US manages to kick something up in Taiwan. It possibly, possibly implies a Russia-China-DPRK pact which NATO wouldn't stand a chance against in any kind of conventional war.
I'm sure that China, Russia, Vietnam, and DPRK have war gamed these kinds of scenarios together. Although, given what we're seeing unfold in the Middle East, I don't know that US has the capacity to fuck around in Asia any time soon.