this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2023
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Germany:
The AfD get huge wins in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg. The likelihood of them actually getting into government is low. The Left party and the patsoc splitter BSW (name likely to change) will take votes from each other and probably both manage to get either barely above or below 5%.
The Socdems and Greens eat shit, and if the FDP's membership vote on dissolving the traffic light coalition, the early elections will almost certainly lead to a grand coalition of a reaganite CDU and the SPD. The left party is also highly likely to get like 3% or 2% and probably wither away in such a scenario.
Austria:
I don't know enough about their politics, but I'd give the KPÖ (Communist Party) a 50% chance of getting into the national council. They had a big surge, but the socdems elected a Bernie Sanders style sheepdog that gave off the impression of being more left wing than he is. The fash will probably win, but the government will be formed by the conservatives, socdems and maybe liberals in one alliance.
Rest of the world:
Putin probably wins a huge landslide. The yanks wallow in misery from their own elections. A man named Chad won't win the Chadian election.