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this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2023
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They lost the upper hand in regards of tanks, they lose artillery at an unsustainable rate and they produced like 20 planes in a year. They still have a huge advantage in the air and that's where there has to be found a solution to get Ukraine on a more equal level. I doubt that Russia will gain any significant amount of land anymore but idk when or if Ukraine can push them back beyond 2014 borders.
Btw I'm dumb as shit and not a qualified source for any of the statements I made.
I wouldn't put yourself down. There's the ordinary fog of war and rather developed systems for spreading misinformation. I had a quick Google search and many of the results are… contradictory to say the least. The only thing that seems to be confirmed is that NATO can't adequately supply Ukraine without stripping it's own militaries of equipment. It seems to have run out of the arms that it's willing to 'give' away (except for the nasty stuff that nobody should be using) and doesn't have the capacity to ramp up production for a year or two at least.