this post was submitted on 09 May 2024
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[–] Frank@hexbear.net 31 points 6 months ago (1 children)

in our lifetime

I'd be shocked if the US doesn't dump the RoC in the next 5-10 years.

[–] Beaver@hexbear.net 26 points 6 months ago (1 children)

The US has historically dumped the RoC out on their ass the moment that they could benefit more from closer ties with the PRC. The concentration of the semiconductor industry is the only reason we give them the time a day, and even the sclerotic US empire has identified that as an unacceptable risk and is moving to diversify its suppliers. It's entirely possible that those efforts will fail, and the RoC will maintain it's importance... but if the PRC and other countries catch up, then the US will be like "lol, smell ya later losers, we're buying all our chips from Guangzhou now". If that happens, then I could imagine that reunification efforts will pick up steam.

[–] iridaniotter@hexbear.net 15 points 6 months ago (1 children)

but if the PRC and other countries catch up, then the US will be like "lol, smell ya later losers, we're buying all our chips from Guangzhou now".

I think America will shoot itself in both of its feet

  1. America sanctions China so they can't get chips
  2. China develops its own chip industry <--- You are here
  3. America starts to buy cheap Chinese chips
  4. Taiwan becomes irrelevant
  5. China reunifies
  6. America sanctions China for reunifying
  7. America is now without chips or Taiwan
[–] EmoThugInMyPhase@hexbear.net 9 points 6 months ago (1 children)

China is already the largest producer of non-hyper advanced chips. These are in consumer and infrastructure goods and even a lot of military tech that the US and Europe use. Despite sanctioning them for everything chip related, the US is already scared that china will do the same to the west over the more common chips lol. And guess what their proposed solution is? More sanctions against china. Because that’s how you improve relations

[–] iridaniotter@hexbear.net 6 points 6 months ago

the west is so smart