this post was submitted on 19 May 2025
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Or perhaps the end of the beginning, if you're a little more pessimistic.


Image is from this Bloomberg article, from which I also gathered some of the information used in the preamble.


While Trump was off in the Middle East in an incompetent attempt to solve a geopolitical and humanitarian crisis, China has been doing something much more productive.

Chinese officials, including Xi Jinping, had a summit with CELAC (a community of 33 Latin American and Caribbean countries). There, he promised investment, various declarations of friendship, and visa-free entry for 30 days for citizens of Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru and Uruguay. Lula signed over 30 agreements with China. Colombia is joining the New Development Bank and hopes to gain the money for a 120-kilometer railway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific coasts as an alternative route to the Panama Canal. Even Argentina, ruled by arch-libertarian and arch-dipshit (but I repeat myself) Milei, was uncharacteristically polite with China as he secured a currency swap renewal to shore up their international reserves.

It wouldn't really be correct to say that Latin America is "siding with China over the US" - leaders in the region will continue to make many deals with America for the foreseeable future, and even Trump's bizarre economic strongman routine won't make them break off economic and diplomatic relations. What's significant here is that despite increasing American pressure for those leaders to break off all ties with China, few appear to be listening - and given that China is perhaps the most important economy on the planet right now, that is a very predictable outcome.

As the current American empire takes actions to try and avoid their doom, those very actions only guarantee it. As Latin America grows ever more interconnected with China and continues to develop, America will grow ever more panicked and demanding, and this feedback loop will - eventually - result in the death of the Monroe Doctrine.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 39 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

monkey-typewriter Portugal's post election update.

With the votes from abroad not yet counted and with the likelyhood of the far-right CH obtaining 2 MPs more than the center-left PS and becoming the largest opposition party looming, the effects of the left's historic defeat and the far-right's rise last sunday are still being felt. Here's what all the main actors are up to.

The communists didn't rest on their laurels and immediately held a bunch of rallies right after the elections, its affiliated organizations are also still active, they've also already stated they'll propose a vote against the government's budget right away once parliament starts (which will clarify how he PS and CH will handle the center-right's minority government), the idea seems to be to give despairing leftists hope that there are people still fighting the right and inspire them to join. Hey, it worked with me, I did join after a moment like this but it was in 2022 when the PS got a historic absolute majority, I thought that was bad enough, and now they're basically in third place, funny how life works.

The post-trot demsoc BE, once having elected 19 MPs in 2019, is still reeling from having only electing its party leader, she basically blamed the "global right-wing shift" (which portugal has definetily joined) for the party's poor result. I maintain that their situation is very fucked, with a disloyal soft left of the party easily going to the europhile pro-war greens and a loyal hard left of the party too historically resentful of the "Stalinist" (according to them) communists to support their coalition, a shame because they still got 100k votes and a lot of activists that could be very useful.

The PS general secretary, who was from the left-wing of the party even though he ran a very centrist campaign, resigned and since only 1 guy ran for his job, he got it. A man named Carneiro will be leading the socialists, however in portuguese "Carneiro" means "sheep" and is also slang for "cuckold" or "someone who sheepishly follows orders", so following nominative determinism (WHICH IS REAL trump-anguish ) this man will never become prime minister. A Starmer-like figure (minus the transphobia hopefully) he's made it clear that the party wants to form an informal "central block" with the center-right AD minority government for stability and to allow with to govern without having to depend on the far-right for parliamentary votes.

About that though...the AD which for years maintained a "no means no" stance regarding collaborating with the far-right now has revised that to mean "no only means no...regarding the far-right joining government", they've opened the door to working with them in parliament, and even worse on possibly constitutional revisions. The right now has a 2/3 majority which means for the first time they don't need the PS to revise the constitution and the far-right could possibly have a say. The liberals are already building a proposal to remove the "ideological charge" of the constitution, which was written in the aftermath of the revolution in 75 and has already been revised a few times (like to remove the un-reversability of nationalizations and stuff)

Oh and the public prosecutor, which has publicly announced they were investigating several politicians in the past few years, even during campaign season, but so far haven't charged anyone, only NOW has said that they're asking for further documents from the PM's private business dealings and that ONLY NOW AFTER YEARS OF THIS SHIT they're FINALLY investigating the far-right's leader for "incitement of hatred" over 1 video he recently posted complaining about roma people, I doubt anything will come of it though.

It kinda feels like germany's situation a few years ago.

A dominant center-right in power.

A far-right being toe to toe with an increasingly centrist center-left, gaining ground on historically far-left regions on basically just anti-migrant discourse, shut out of government so it can always be in the opposition and with a lot of low education voters. With the key difference that unlike in germany the far-right here is a 1 man show and very personalistic.

A market-fundamentalist liberal party that pollutes discourse with easy solutions and can basically always be in the opposition (they've since lost their seats in germany but that won't happen here since there's no electoral treshold) and is very popular among well-to-do young people.

A socially liberal pro-war green party working as a stop-gap between the center-left and the far-left.

On the far-left is where I think there are the most differences, since Die Linke has definitely become a "normal"-ish party, pro-nato if a bit reluctantly, pro arms-shipments to ukraine and not very anti-israel.

Well portuguese people are always talking about how we suck and should be more like germany so there you go. attack-orca

[–] Sinisterium@hexbear.net 17 points 1 day ago

Yeah this is basically 2010s Germany.

[–] sexywheat@hexbear.net 35 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Venezuela’s 2025 Legislative and Regional Elections: A Quick Guide

Can I get a vibe check on the upcoming (Sunday) elections in Venezuela? What's the mood feeling like at the moment?

Paging @ColombianLenin@hexbear.net chavez-salute (and anybody else who has their thumb on the pulse)

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 20 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I mean I can't really say much from the other side of the border. I do follow a couple chavista influencers that post what they see on the ground and from what they post it would seem like chavismo is much more popular.

I don't disagree, I think chavismo is still popular and think Maduro will come out ok. But expect the usual fear mongering about corruption and authoritarianism and the such.

[–] Sinisterium@hexbear.net 13 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Is the Guyana thing relevant or is just pearl clutching?

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 16 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

It's a NEH kinda thing. I don't think the countries are willing to go to war over it (at least yet), since there are several gringo companies there.

[–] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 49 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Today Russia announced that it will create a large defensive buffer zone to protect Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk, the Crimea, Zaporozhye, Kherson and the Donbass from NATO artillery fire: https://sputnikglobe.com/20250522/why-russia-wants-buffer-zone-along-ukraine-border-1122113142.html

Plus, a little combat footage.

A Russian Iskander-M missile strike destroyed a US-built “Patriot” SAM system (including its AN/MPQ-65 radar, the command/control cabin, and two launchers), near Ordzhonikidze (in Dnepropetrovsk oblast): https://www.rt.com/russia/618005-russian-iskander-destroys-ukrainian-patriot/

A DPRK self-propelled howitzer in action on the Kursk front: https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/9849289.html

Russian airborne troops captured and inspected an enemy trench (18+ footage, the Kiev regime military suffered many losses here): https://odysee.com/@Support4Z:b/%F0%9F%93%BD%EF%B8%8F-A-%F0%9F%87%AC%F0%9F%87%A7-%F0%9F%87%AB%F0%9F%87%B7,--%F0%9F%94%9EParatroopers-forest-belt,-trench-littered-with-corpses%F0%9F%94%9E:1

[–] Sinisterium@hexbear.net 26 points 2 days ago

This basically means everything east of the Dnieper + Mykolaiv and Odessa Oblast.

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[–] Salem@hexbear.net 63 points 2 days ago (3 children)

That Citations Needed news brief with that NPR interview made my skin crawl. Holy shit.

[–] very_poggers_gay@hexbear.net 36 points 2 days ago (1 children)

my heart broke listening to the Palestinian man. All his fear and pain, his desperation to keep his family fed and safe as they're trapped in the middle of a genocide.

and everything the smug fuck NPR goon was beyond enraging. good fucking riddance.

[–] someone@hexbear.net 15 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I wonder how much of this is a result of NPR senior management trying to cozy up to the American government to avoid funding cuts. I mean sure, they were always Nice Polite Republicans, but this is even beyond their normal ghoulishness.

[–] Sinisterium@hexbear.net 40 points 2 days ago

The reporter dude is beyond insane. The arrogance of crackerspaling that uhm akshually I know “your side”. Whenever the terror ends the media must trialed as well.

[–] newacctidk@hexbear.net 38 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I really wish they had a version of every ep that just has them read out what was said or summarize cause so often I cannot make it through an episode

[–] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 45 points 2 days ago (1 children)
[–] newacctidk@hexbear.net 34 points 2 days ago

Yeah I do like the transcripts, I just wish I could listen without the NPR shit.

also I thought that was the onion link and now I am fucking pissed

[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 46 points 2 days ago (6 children)
[–] LoveWitch@hexbear.net 6 points 1 day ago

Businessman Oisin Fanning was onboard Titan for the last two dives before the disaster. "If you're asking a simple question: 'Would I go again knowing what I know now?' - the answer is no," he told BBC News.

Wise captain of industry

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[–] sawne128@hexbear.net 106 points 2 days ago (1 children)

How come Israel can shoot at diplomats, but when someone shoots Israeli diplomats it's suddenly a big deal?

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[–] gay_king_prince_charles@hexbear.net 74 points 2 days ago (11 children)

Trump bans foreign students from enrolling at Harvard. Current students must transfer or be deported.

Associated PressWASHINGTON (AP) — The Trump administration revoked Harvard University’s ability to enroll international students in its escalating battle with the Ivy League school, saying thousands of current students must transfer to other schools or leave the country.

The Department of Homeland Security announced the action Thursday, saying Harvard has created an unsafe campus environment by allowing “anti-American, pro-terrorist agitators” to assault Jewish students on campus. Without offering evidence, it also accused Harvard of coordinating with the Chinese communist party.

“This means Harvard can no longer enroll foreign students and existing foreign students must transfer or lose their legal status,” the agency said in a statement.

Harvard enrolls almost 6,800 foreign students at its campus in Cambridge, Massachusetts, accounting for more than a quarter of its student body. Most are graduate students, coming from more than 100 countries.

“This administration is holding Harvard accountable for fostering violence, antisemitism, and coordinating with the Chinese Communist Party on its campus,” Kristi Noem said in a statement.

The administration revoked Harvard’s certification in the Student and Exchange Visitor Program, which gives the school the ability to sponsor international students to get their visas and attend school in the United States

[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 42 points 2 days ago

Higher education and academia were one of the last bastions of US soft power that people around the globe still had faith and even foolishly believe is "impartial" and not part of the US state apparatus. But October 7th and the crackdown on student encampments are opening people's eyes. And with this, an entire class of NGO ghouls and color revolutionist-in-training has been culled. No more petty bourgeois diaspora being brainwashed and send back to their home country to further mentally colonize their peers. No more failchildren of rich compradors being groomed to be the next generation of compradors.

[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 85 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Holy shit that's awesome, like genuinely a bullet to america's influence on developing countries' elites.

I remember reading something about how "we'll enroll your oldest son into X american elite university" was one of the most effective ways to bribe government officials into supporting american interests

[–] gay_king_prince_charles@hexbear.net 49 points 2 days ago (2 children)

I think the impact will be minimal at best. Harvard doesn't have a huge leg above Yale, Princeton and Stanford for the humanities and they are behind MIT, Caltech, CMU and arguably Berkeley for STEM. The influence will remain through those institutions and this act is done due to Trump's personal vendetta against Harvard.

[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 41 points 2 days ago (1 children)

It will still shake the elites quite a bit. Harvard is like the New York Yankees in the global south. They’re both names everybody recognizes as being the best in their respective fields, even if they currently aren’t ranked at the top.

[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 26 points 2 days ago

Academia is such a potent form of US soft power. And Trump is killing the gold egg laying goose because he thinks the goose looks ugly.

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[–] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 49 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

This administration is holding Harvard accountable for fostering violence, 'antisemitism', and coordinating with the Chinese Communist Party on its campus

I wish harvard was this cool, they are not

[–] dkr567@hexbear.net 61 points 2 days ago (1 children)

How to destroy your own R&D base written by JDPON Don.

[–] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 40 points 2 days ago

Enforced brain drain

[–] Parzivus@hexbear.net 62 points 2 days ago

trump-yassified no more Chinese liberals getting degrees at Harvard!

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 28 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

I have said it before and I will say it again: Trump’s assault on public institutions will end with a public backlash against federalism in America. It is going to pre-emptively kill off any kind of nationalization narrative that the left has been attempting to make a case for.

It is a spectacle. It is priming the people for the eventual “mainstream” narrative that says “oh, you want your kids’ educations to be funded by the government? Look, what if just one person, you know, like Donald Trump, just like Mao in communist China, who doesn’t like your politics, who hates DEI, and decides to defund our academic institutions with world class reputation built over an entire century?”

“Trump’s reckless use of his executive power shows us exactly why the FREE MARKET, not nationalization, is the superior system. Under the free market, you will find always be able to find private investors who are fine with your IDEOLOGY, who cares about FREEDOM OF SPEECH, and therefore willing to finance your business. A true marketplace of ideas. It is exactly the opposite of Trumpian authoritarianism that Trump is attempting to emulate from the oppressive Chinese regime.”

The bourgeoisie are fully behind this.

[–] spectre@hexbear.net 18 points 2 days ago

This is what they think will happen, and it will probably go that way in the short term.

I don't think the liberals will buy in to all that. They'll just be spineless to do anything about it until a left of some kind gets formed and whips them into line. Hopefully that doesn't happen before it's too late.

[–] Cimbazarov@hexbear.net 55 points 2 days ago

Good news for those countries where the foreign students come from. Less neoliberal morons will be produced in the world

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 25 points 2 days ago

so many mid-high level bureaucrats' children from third world countries enroll there. good job, only damaging U.S.' image further.

[–] Fishroot@hexbear.net 31 points 2 days ago (1 children)
[–] Ildsaye@hexbear.net 23 points 2 days ago

Compradon't volcel-kamala

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[–] LoveYourself@hexbear.net 65 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Zionist-American warplanes are bombing multiple loactions across South Lebanon at these moments.

https://english.almanar.com.lb/2413677

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