After 15 months of genocide - and resistance to it - the Israeli regime realized that they could not win a military victory against Hamas, and were forced to sign a humiliating ceasefire in order to get their hostages returned.
With much of Syria under the control of Al-Qaeda, and an increasing level of covert infiltration into Lebanon, the crisis in the Middle East is not over, and we may still be in its beginning stages, as the center of hegemony continues its gradual shift away from the United States. Their navy, once considered the best in the world, is likely also not very happy about their ships and aircraft carriers being forced to retreat by Yemen, one of the poorest countries; and all eyes are on Iran, who has, over the last year and a half, demonstrated a newfound confidence and strength to directly strike Israel.
The recovery for Gaza will take, at a minimum, decades; it could indeed never fully recovery to even how it was before, considering it is not in Israel's interests to see their concentration camps recover. But Hamas has proven to be steadfast and the tunnel network has proven its resilience, despite facing some of the most powerful conventional bombing in history. This shows that Palestine's liberation is a when, not an if; and hopefully a much sooner "when" than expected before October 7th.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
https://old.reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/comments/1iady0x/active_conflicts_news_megathread_january_26_2025/m9a5cd2/
Alleged (very much unconfirmed) terms of Trump's Ukraine peace deal
Likely sticking points, if true:
This all sounds super crazy, like, it's gotta be fake literally every second point is gonna be a huge sticking point for russia.
Also
This is not gonna happen I don't understand why it would be part of a peace deal even
Aside from the points I mentioned, which may be non-starters, I really don't think it's that far-fetched.
I believe Putin has said that he doesn't have a problem with Ukraine joining the EU. Adding that to the deal could make Ukraine feel a bit better about accepting, without spoiling the deal for Russia. It's the EU's problem whether they actually want to allow Ukraine in.
I don't think he minds ukraine joining the EU either, I'm saying it's not gonna happen because when push comes to shove at least 1 european leader will realize they have nothing to gain by letting a country as poor as ukraine in and veto it, especially when the EU itself is in a bad state. The EU right now has no serious way to integrate ukraine economically, I don't think they will by 2030 so having "it will join BY 2030" as a condition seems crazy because it's anything but assured, it's a condition written to be broken because it might very well break the EU itself (if ukraine gets 100% of the EU's funds for example)
Aside from that stuff like this also seems crazy for russia to accept
Ok so the military part is fine but if they keep up diplomatic efforts then those regions will have no peace because the rest of the US aligned world still won't recognize them.
Sanctions are politically very tough to lift because these morally drunken politicians attach a lot of importance to them, it's already hard to believe they'll actually lift and keep them lifted, and then this "depending on compliance" shit would probably be totally arbitrary, if you're Vladimir Putin you've already realized that trusting the west to keep its commitments isn't safe.
Maybe he's trying to "art of the deal" them? That weird thing he does where he makes insane demands?
Ukraine volunteering to be another Greece. Wish I could say it's surprising. But it's not those in power—or their U.S. masters—who will suffer, after all. Yeehaw.
No way in hell Zelenskyy accepts this short of Trump stopping weapons shipments. Zelenskyy has been adamant about getting everything back, including Crimea. Maybe he’d accept pre-2022, but he wouldn’t accept line of control. And Zelenskyy knows he’s out at the next presidential election, which is why he cancelled the scheduled one. He’s still fully in the mindset of “to the last Ukrainian” as long as he has the weapons to do it.
And I kinda doubt Putin would accept this. The whole thing started in 2014 over EU membership. And once they’re an EU member, they’ll inch their way into NATO despite “declaring neutrality and renouncing their ambition to join NATO”.
Especially without formal accept of annexation of the territories.
so after all that whining on the campaign trail, he’s changing nothing?
The "Ukraine will join the EU" is an interesting point too, considering the EU isn't involved directly in the negotiations (Trump/Putin/Zelensky having phone chats).
Also interesting considering the fact Ukraine couldnt join before and now it's expected the EU will finance reconstruction and admit what is practically assured to become eastern-european Afghanistan into the Schengen zone?
On my last post people kept saying "the EU has nowhere else to turn to" which I don't disagree with, but it's completely misunderstanding what I'm saying when I speak of increasing tensions with the EU.
Trump can strong-arm the Europeans, but there's a reason he is in a position to do so now as opposed to last time - Focused sabotage and smooth talking from Biden.
European leaders hadnt even thought to look elsewhere, but moves like this will make them do so. An unruly vassal is less useful than a cooperative one.
Apart from that this gives me massive Japan-Tzarist Russia peace treaty 1905. Surprised how many concessions the Russians are expected to make, but at the same time the looming threat of a more focused NATO effort (more manpower, no more "oops they were just there for training") isn't nice, even when you can outproduce them.
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