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I'm no anthropomologist by any means so take what I say with a grain of salt, but I'd figure its the other way around. People raised in contact with more diverse groups of people (eg. raised in a city) are probably more likely to become left-leaning, where people raised in a more homogenous environment (eg. small towns) are more likely to become more right-leaning
Yes, it's both - both the effect of seeing diverse people on those who first live there, and the self-sorting that people who are interested in diverse experiences and cultures are either drawn to / not afraid of the city.