this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2025
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GenZedong
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I think it's hard to predict as these all have effects on each other. Like the USA could have continued social democratic reforms to appease it's strong labor whole snatching up European colonies in Asia and South America to subsidize the core.
And an anglo alliance might consider Europe lost and pivot to cementing their grip in South Asia and Southern Africa etc
The weird outcome is I think Imperial Japan would probably have at a minium a non aggression pact with Europe and possibly an alliance. Which is an enormous contradiction of Idealogy versus realpolitik. Possibly leading to an Anglo or US aligned Nationalist China movement etc
You're right that there are many unexpected ways things can work out, but many of the advantages that the current US empire is propped up on would not have existed. Even the US and UK together would not have been central to the world economy. The Soviet bloc would've been by far the bigger player in that scenario. It's hard to overstate just how much the US benefited from WW2.