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I'd argue that ChromeOS only succeeds at funneling kids into Google's browser products, not keeping them in ChromeOS. Because you can get basically the same experience on any PC, whether it's running Windows, MacOS, or Linux.
Once kids grow up and get a job, they run into the limitations of ChromeOS pretty fast and swap to something with a real OS. Unless they're at a company that exclusively uses browser-based tools without any desktop apps or plugins, which is pretty rare IMO.
It doesn't necessarily need to be an entire company. It can easily just be a division or a department. Sure, you can't easily migrate engineering or design roles to a browser-based system; but Sales, Marketing (except design), Writing, Management, Strategic Planning, HR, Finance, Accounting, and Administration are just some departments that can be entirely or nearly entirely cloud-native (and in many cases already are).
But when management discovers that they can reduce IT hardware costs by 50% or more by switching to a platform that their younger employees already know, they'll probably start doing it.
The world is heading back in the direction of thin clients, honestly. But in this new thin client world, the browser will be the only thing on the bare metal.
What you're proposing is definitely possible, but I don't see it happening any time soon. Partially because people just aren't interested in going there, and partly because Chromebook hardware tends to suck. Also, Chrome is bloated as hell on its own, you need at least 16GB of RAM to open up more than a handful of tabs 😆.
Plus, Chromebooks have ALREADY been around long enough for this to happen. The first Chromebook was sold in 2011! And in the 12 years since, Chromebooks have dominated the middle school market, of course. But they've managed to take approximately 0% of the market in the professional space. Even college kids don't use Chromebooks, it's all Macs and PCs.
At this moment, Chromebooks are for middle school kids, and also sometimes for casual home users. Not saying they can never be anything else, but that's the current reality.
Like any computer, Chromebook hardware sucks if you're buying entry level sub-$500 devices. The reputation for shitty hardware is generally from people who have only used entry level devices
Our standard fleet for our teachers is Acer Spin 513-2WH. They're exceptionally nice
Sure, but if you're spending a thousand dollars or more on hardware, you might as well get a Mac or PC that can run more apps. That's the reason people buy the shitty sub-$500 ones: because it ain't worth a thousand dollars if you can't run (insert industry-specific app here).
We're CLOSE to the future you envision, where everything is just a SaaS browser-based tool. But I don't think we're there yet, there are just too many exceptions for most businesses to go all-in on Chromebooks. I work for an MSP with a relatively diverse clientele (Mac and PC), and schools are the ONLY clients that use Chromebooks.
You're preaching to the choir, lol. I'm just saying the hardware on non-entry Chromebooks is outstanding these days. Everything else is a matter of time & licensing