this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2023
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[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 181 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (11 children)

So which will SCOTUS rule:

A. January 6 wasn't really an insurrection;

B. Trump didn't participate;

C. The 14th Amendment doesn't really mean what the plain words of it say it means

?

My bet is C

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 73 points 10 months ago (5 children)

SCOTUS refused to entertain Trump's election lie. Don't be so certain they will be friendly to him this time. I hate the current SCOTUS, but they can surprise you sometimes.

[–] 0110010001100010@lemmy.world 38 points 10 months ago (2 children)

It's also not like he can retaliate in any way (other than trying to provoke his supporters into acting). They are set up for life, and can continue to influence the country for years to come with or without him. They may choose to let him drown.

[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 20 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Exactly. They are in no way beholden to him. And even their pet issue of abortion has been taken care of, so they've paid their dues. Now they can do whatever they feel like.

[–] douglasg14b@lemmy.world 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Sure he can, why don't you think he can?

He's been shown to indirectly threaten judges, juror, investigators, and witnesses. By turning the hate and violence of his supporters their way. He doesn't have to personally do anything, there will always be a sympathizer willing to lay down their own life and well-being for his political cause, that's how fascism works.

He very much can retaliate. And has a rich history of it at this point.

Another way that retaliations can be had is with a corrupt Supreme Court who are influenced by external parties by way of wealth or influence. In which case sources of wealth can be pulled or affected.

Good thing we don't have any Supreme Court members on dubious grounds related to ill-gotten gains...

[–] postmateDumbass@lemmy.world 11 points 10 months ago

Ill wait until all the ~~opinions~~ bribes are cast

[–] rockSlayer@lemmy.world 9 points 10 months ago

Thomas almost feels like he has an obligation to something other than his wallet, so he's slowed down on the radically unpopular rulings.

[–] KingThrillgore@lemmy.ml 4 points 10 months ago

The only certainty is that Roberts and the liberal judges would definitely not be onboard with ignoring the 14th. Kavanagh probably, Thomas all but certainly.

[–] linearchaos@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago

We can definitely hope. But it's really going to come down to how well the individuals are owned.

If this were just a panel of supreme Court justices voting along their biases, It's anybody's guess what they could do. But they're not exactly impartial and lots of people have lots of dirt against them then gobs and gobs of political power.

[–] theodewere@kbin.social 36 points 10 months ago (1 children)

or D, an obscure quote from the Old Testament about the power of Kings and their scepters and orbs and whatnot

[–] Chakravanti@sh.itjust.works 3 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Is it good enough in English? Or are we dealing with the real thing?

[–] theodewere@kbin.social 9 points 10 months ago

wouldn't surprise me if these idiots accidentally quoted Tolkien

[–] krakenx@lemmy.world 11 points 10 months ago (2 children)

They will probably pass it back to the states. It's not like the blue states were going to vote for Trump anyways, and the "unfairness" of it will probably boost him in purple and red states.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago

They will probably pass it back to the states

If you want chaos, this would be the best bet.

[–] hitmyspot@aussie.zone 1 points 10 months ago

It’s extremely risky for him. It looks like this was brought by citizens. Citizens in purple states could also bring it and get the same result. Some might say yes, some say no, but if enough say no name on ballot, he has no path to victory.

Would the republicans implode, choose among the trash candidates they currently have in the debates, or would someone new step up?

[–] Crow@lemmy.world 11 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Unlike other republicans who are at the whim of trump, the Supreme Court can’t really be touched and don’t have to bow down to him while still being shitty republicans.

[–] Chef@sh.itjust.works 20 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I dunno. The consequence of an unfavorable ruling is that the bribes stop.

[–] nomous@lemmy.world 12 points 10 months ago

Nah that's the thing. Trump can kick rocks and there'll still be plenty of "donors" who just so happen to have cases coming up.

[–] Omegamanthethird@lemmy.world 8 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The 14th amendment also guarantees the right to seek medical treatment. Yet women are denied this right.

[–] SCB@lemmy.world 22 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

The 14th amendment does not guarantee any sort of right to any specific healthcare.

If it did, one assumes abortion proponents would have used that language in lieu of privacy as in Roe v Wade

[–] Omegamanthethird@lemmy.world 6 points 10 months ago (1 children)

It's not the right to healthcare. It's the right to seek healthcare. Ie, they can't deprive you of life or liberty without charging you. Restricting you from seeking healthcare deprives you of both.

They used whichever they thought was more likely to get through SCOTUS.

[–] SCB@lemmy.world 8 points 10 months ago

Restricting you from seeking healthcare deprives you of both.

This does not stand up to constitutional muster, is my point. The argument is that the government has a right to prevent certain things that could be healthcare, and that does hold water constitutionally.

Like, I love your energy here but this is not the way to guarantee abortion/reproductive care access

[–] NocturnalMorning@lemmy.world 8 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The Supreme Court doesn't really have any say in how states run their elections. That's the only wrinkle I see on this. If they tried to dictate state elections, states could just ignore it.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 7 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The question is if Trump qualifies to be president per the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution. The states don't decide that, SCOTUS does.

[–] NocturnalMorning@lemmy.world 8 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

The constitution is pretty clearly written on this one. Any decision otherwise than to bar Trump from running is playing fuckery politics.

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

You and I might find it clear, but we are not SCOTUS.

[–] lolcatnip@reddthat.com 4 points 10 months ago

They are indeed exceptionally good at manufacturing ambiguity where none exists.

[–] Dippy@lemmy.world 7 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Going with C. Without explicit language to the president, they will need to interpret this to mean the president included, which may be up to anyone’s interpretation.

I feel it should, however it could be argued it doesn’t.

who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof

[–] lolcatnip@reddthat.com 17 points 10 months ago (1 children)

It cannot be argued in good faith. Talking about the presidency as an office has been a thing forever, and therefore the president is an officer. He's also an officer just by the plain meaning of the word officer. I never heard one peep to the contrary until people started looking for a way for Trump to weasel his way out of the 14th amendment.

[–] Dippy@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

It’s all up to interpretation though, you might not see it, or you might have heard it in a way, but it can be argued. Similar to the lower court judge saying so.

Similarly one of the judge points out in the dissenting opinion there is no conviction of insurrection.

So I still think C will win, but A or B is a possibility too.

"In the absence of an insurrection-related conviction, I would hold that a request to disqualify a candidate under Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment is not a proper cause of action under Colorado’s election code. Therefore, I would dismiss the claim at issue here”

Source

[–] lolcatnip@reddthat.com 8 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I see it just fine. I reject it as a bad faith argument. Any judge who entertains it is showing how corrupt they are.

Pointing to a lack of a conviction, OTOH, is at least a reasonable argument not based on pretending not to understand what words mean.

[–] Dippy@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Yea fair enough. Just a different set of eyes is all. Thanks for the response!

The lack of conviction is prolly the biggest hurdle here which makes me wonder who would, or even could, bring those charges (even if the lower court explicitly stated he did). Jack smith has his hands full and while interesting to follow it’s not a direct case of questioning insurrection. Curious as to where it all leads.

End of the day, it starts to ask the question, which prolly ends at the Supreme Court no matter what.

[–] postmateDumbass@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Trump wss just committed to the continuity of government at all costs. Including the republic itself.

(That is the likely argument)

[–] douglasg14b@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago

Literally anythng that keeps him on the ballot is my guess.

[–] Num10ck@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

or maybe that he hasnt been convicted yet of it

[–] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

That would be "B" there's a B guy here.